Region = PA 2A Sec2             
   Nickname = A Colts                Coach  =   Steve Stead           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.9737091    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Fox Chapel             PA 3A Sec3    (13- 5, 89.5)     2-12   
 329 H Canon-McMillan         PA 3A Sec2    (10- 8, 85.1)     2-11   
 404 H North Catholic-Wuerl   PA 2A Sec1    (11- 6, 84.9)     5-13   
 406 H Trinity Area           PA 2A Sec3    ( 1-13, 63.8)    12- 1   
 409 H Moon Area              PA 2A Sec3    (11- 6, 83.6)     3-10   
 412 H Seton LaSalle, PA      PA 2A Sec3    ( 2-12, 63.1)    18- 2   
 416 H Franklin Regional, PA  PA 3A Sec3    ( 6- 8, 81.7)     6-13   
 417 A Hampton                PA 2A Sec2    (14- 7, 89.6)     0-11   
 420 H Butler Area            PA 3A Sec2    (11- 7, 86.3)     2-11   
 423 H Greensburg Cath Cent   PA 2A Sec2    ( 7- 8, 77.6)     4- 5  o
 425 A Moon Area              PA 2A Sec3    (11- 6, 83.6)     6-11   
 427 A Knoch                  PA 2A Sec2    (10- 6, 82.1)     8-10   
 501 H South Fayette          PA 2A Sec2    (10- 7, 81.0)    10- 7   
 503 A Canon-McMillan         PA 3A Sec2    (10- 8, 85.1)     5-15   
 508 H Quaker Valley          PA 2A Sec3    (13- 3, 89.3)     5-16   
 509 A Shaler Area            PA 3A Sec4    ( 3-13, 74.4)     6- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Fox Chapel              2-12     -10   -14           0.00
   329 H Canon-McMillan          2-11      -9   -10           1.00
   404 H North Catholic-Wuerl    5-13      -8    -9           1.80
   406 H Trinity Area           12- 1      11    11           0.00
   409 H Moon Area               3-10      -7    -8           1.50
   412 H Seton LaSalle, PA      18- 2      16    11           0.00
   416 H Franklin Regional, PA   6-13      -7    -6          -0.41
   417 A Hampton                 0-11     -11   -15           0.00
   420 H Butler Area             2-11      -9   -11           1.00
   423 H Greensburg Cath Cent    4- 5  o   -1    -2           1.57
   425 A Moon Area               6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.57
   427 A Knoch                   8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.10
   501 H South Fayette          10- 7       3    -5    +++    8.93
   503 A Canon-McMillan          5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   508 H Quaker Valley           5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   509 A Shaler Area             6- 4       2     0    +      2.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Knoch                   8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.10
   501 H South Fayette          10- 7       3    -5    +++    8.93
   425 A Moon Area               6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.57
   509 A Shaler Area             6- 4       2     0    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.52 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.58 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/