Conf =  3A                        Region = NC    Conf-07          
   Nickname = C Tigers               Coach  =   Jacob Manning         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.8452759    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-07 ( 7- 7, 68.5)    13- 1   
 309 A Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-06 (10- 8, 81.9)     8- 7   
 310 H Leesville Road         NC    Conf-04 (13- 5, 87.6)     3-15   
 313 A Southern Alamance      NC    Conf-09 ( 7- 8, 72.9)    12- 7   
 316 A Northwood, NC          NC    Conf-07 (12- 5, 84.6)    14-19   
 319 H Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (10- 8, 89.8)     1-16   
 404 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-07 (19- 2, 89.3)     9-20   
 406 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-08 ( 9- 8, 79.4)     8-11   
 410 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-08 ( 4-10, 64.0)    19- 1   
 411 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-08 ( 9- 8, 79.4)     5- 7   
 413 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-07 (19- 2, 89.3)     7-13   
 416 H Cedar Ridge, NC        NC    Conf-07 ( 6- 6, 74.3)     5- 7   
 417 A Durham Academy         NC 1  NCISAA  (12- 4, 92.8)     3-16   
 420 A Southern Durham        NC    Conf-07 ( 0-10, 53.5)    15- 0   
 423 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-06 ( 7- 8, 77.6)    10-12   
 426 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-07 ( 8- 7, 75.0)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Northern Durham        13- 1      12     7    +      2.33
   309 A Durham Jordan           8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.83
   310 H Leesville Road          3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   313 A Southern Alamance      12- 7       5     1    +      3.80
   316 A Northwood, NC          14-19      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   319 H Ravenscroft School      1-16     -15   -13          n/a  
   404 H East Chapel Hill        9-20     -11   -13           0.00
   406 H Carrboro                8-11      -3    -3           0.29
   410 A J.F. Webb              19- 1      18    10           0.00
   411 A Carrboro                5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.32
   413 A East Chapel Hill        7-13      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   416 H Cedar Ridge, NC         5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.87
   417 A Durham Academy          3-16     -13   -18          n/a  
   420 A Southern Durham        15- 0      15    20           0.00
   423 A Panther Creek          10-12      -2    -3           1.53
   426 H Hillsborough Orange     5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Cedar Ridge, NC         5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.87
   426 H Hillsborough Orange     5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Durham Jordan           8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.83
   316 A Northwood, NC          14-19      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   413 A East Chapel Hill        7-13      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   305 H Northern Durham        13- 1      12     7    +      2.33
   313 A Southern Alamance      12- 7       5     1    +      3.80
   411 A Carrboro                5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.13 Local Power Rank...........    54
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.75 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    77
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/