Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   William Folk          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8280411    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (11- 6, 83.7)     5-13   
 329 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 8, 84.8)     4-11   
 404 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (25- 1, 99.9)     5-17   
 407 A Palmyra, PA            PA    Mid 1   (22- 3, 93.2)     3-17   
 409 H Lancaster CDS, PA      PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 83.6)     6- 9   
 411 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-10, 74.6)    11- 8   
 416 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (15- 5, 91.1)    11-24   
 418 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 65.8)     9- 6   
 420 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 81.0)     8-11   
 424 H Elizabethtown, PA      PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 71.7)    14- 5   
 426 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 65.7)    16- 4   
 428 A Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks-1 (12- 7, 81.2)     5-12   
 501 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)    16-15  o
 507 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 81.9)     5-14   
 509 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 76.9)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Warwick                 5-13      -8    -9           1.29
   329 H Penn Manor              4-11      -7    -8           1.44
   404 A Manheim Township        5-17     -12   -25           0.00
   407 A Palmyra, PA             3-17     -14   -18           0.00
   409 H Lancaster CDS, PA       6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.22
   411 A Lampeter-Strasburg     11- 8       3     0    +      3.16
   416 H Hempfield              11-24     -13   -14           0.00
   418 A Garden Spot             9- 6       3     8    --    -5.57
   420 H Ephrata                 8-11      -3    -4           1.62
   424 H Elizabethtown, PA      14- 5       9     4    ++     4.29
   426 H Conestoga Valley       16- 4      12    10           0.00
   428 A Governor Mifflin        5-12      -7    -6          -0.15
   501 A Cocalico               16-15  o    1    -1    +      2.03
   507 H Central Dauphin         5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.49
   509 H Lower Dauphin          10-12      -2     0          -1.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Garden Spot             9- 6       3     8    --    -5.57
   507 H Central Dauphin         5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Lancaster CDS, PA       6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.22
   424 H Elizabethtown, PA      14- 5       9     4    ++     4.29
   411 A Lampeter-Strasburg     11- 8       3     0    +      3.16
   501 A Cocalico               16-15  o    1    -1    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.38 Local Power Rank...........    38
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.94 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/