Conf = Valley Region = MA 2 CenWest Nickname = A Colts Coach = Matt SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.5845108 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Pope Francis MA 3 CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2) 6-16 404 A Northampton MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2) 4-10 406 H Hoosac Valley MA 3 CenWest (15- 4, 76.1) 6-10 410 H West Springfield, MA MA 2 CenWest ( 5-13, 65.2) 10- 5 412 A Agawam MA 2 CenWest ( 6-12, 70.9) 7- 4 424 H South Hadley MA 3 CenWest (10-10, 76.8) 9- 8 o 428 H Taconic MA 3 CenWest ( 4-14, 59.9) 18- 4 501 A Amherst-Pelham Reg MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 73.9) 6- 8 504 A Belchertown MA 3 CenWest (13- 4, 70.2) 12- 7 505 A Wahconah MA 3 CenWest (15- 5, 77.9) 3- 6 507 H East Longmeadow MA 3 CenWest (18- 2, 82.9) 2-10 509 H Amherst-Pelham Reg MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 73.9) 4- 6 512 A Granby MA 3 CenWest ( 8-10, 58.1) 17- 1 514 H Chicopee MA 2 CenWest ( 2-16, 58.0) 10- 1 516 H Agawam MA 2 CenWest ( 6-12, 70.9) 5-10 518 A East Longmeadow MA 3 CenWest (18- 2, 82.9) 2-13 521 A West Springfield, MA MA 2 CenWest ( 5-13, 65.2) 13- 6 523 A Chicopee MA 2 CenWest ( 2-16, 58.0) 10- 3 604 A Algonquin MA 2 CenWest (14- 6, 89.0) 4-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Pope Francis 6-16 -10 0 --- -9.14 404 A Northampton 4-10 -6 -8 + 2.09 406 H Hoosac Valley 6-10 -4 -3 -0.32 410 H West Springfield, MA 10- 5 5 7 - -2.21 412 A Agawam 7- 4 3 0 + 2.86 424 H South Hadley 9- 8 o 1 -4 ++ 5.41 428 H Taconic 18- 4 14 12 0.00 501 A Amherst-Pelham Reg 6- 8 -2 -2 0.86 504 A Belchertown 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.11 505 A Wahconah 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.86 507 H East Longmeadow 2-10 -8 -10 + 2.00 509 H Amherst-Pelham Reg 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.43 512 A Granby 17- 1 16 13 0.00 514 H Chicopee 10- 1 9 14 -1.00 516 H Agawam 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.43 518 A East Longmeadow 2-13 -11 -11 0.00 521 A West Springfield, MA 13- 6 7 5 1.09 523 A Chicopee 10- 3 7 13 - -3.00 604 A Algonquin 4-17 -13 -17 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Pope Francis 6-16 -10 0 --- -9.14 516 H Agawam 5-10 -5 1 --- -6.43 410 H West Springfield, MA 10- 5 5 7 - -2.21 523 A Chicopee 10- 3 7 13 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H South Hadley 9- 8 o 1 -4 ++ 5.41 504 A Belchertown 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.11 404 A Northampton 4-10 -6 -8 + 2.09 412 A Agawam 7- 4 3 0 + 2.86 505 A Wahconah 3- 6 -3 -6 + 3.86 507 H East Longmeadow 2-10 -8 -10 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.72 Local Power Rank........... 144 Local SOS Rating......... 44.77 Local SOS Rank............. 160 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 125 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 65 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 134 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3