Conf =  Valley                    Region = MA 2  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Colts                Coach  =   Matt Smith            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.5845108    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Pope Francis           MA 3  CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2)     6-16   
 404 A Northampton            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2)     4-10   
 406 H Hoosac Valley          MA 3  CenWest (15- 4, 76.1)     6-10   
 410 H West Springfield, MA   MA 2  CenWest ( 5-13, 65.2)    10- 5   
 412 A Agawam                 MA 2  CenWest ( 6-12, 70.9)     7- 4   
 424 H South Hadley           MA 3  CenWest (10-10, 76.8)     9- 8  o
 428 H Taconic                MA 3  CenWest ( 4-14, 59.9)    18- 4   
 501 A Amherst-Pelham Reg     MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 73.9)     6- 8   
 504 A Belchertown            MA 3  CenWest (13- 4, 70.2)    12- 7   
 505 A Wahconah               MA 3  CenWest (15- 5, 77.9)     3- 6   
 507 H East Longmeadow        MA 3  CenWest (18- 2, 82.9)     2-10   
 509 H Amherst-Pelham Reg     MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 73.9)     4- 6   
 512 A Granby                 MA 3  CenWest ( 8-10, 58.1)    17- 1   
 514 H Chicopee               MA 2  CenWest ( 2-16, 58.0)    10- 1   
 516 H Agawam                 MA 2  CenWest ( 6-12, 70.9)     5-10   
 518 A East Longmeadow        MA 3  CenWest (18- 2, 82.9)     2-13   
 521 A West Springfield, MA   MA 2  CenWest ( 5-13, 65.2)    13- 6   
 523 A Chicopee               MA 2  CenWest ( 2-16, 58.0)    10- 3   
 604 A Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (14- 6, 89.0)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Pope Francis            6-16     -10     0    ---   -9.14
   404 A Northampton             4-10      -6    -8    +      2.09
   406 H Hoosac Valley           6-10      -4    -3          -0.32
   410 H West Springfield, MA   10- 5       5     7    -     -2.21
   412 A Agawam                  7- 4       3     0    +      2.86
   424 H South Hadley            9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.41
   428 H Taconic                18- 4      14    12           0.00
   501 A Amherst-Pelham Reg      6- 8      -2    -2           0.86
   504 A Belchertown            12- 7       5     0    ++     4.11
   505 A Wahconah                3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.86
   507 H East Longmeadow         2-10      -8   -10    +      2.00
   509 H Amherst-Pelham Reg      4- 6      -2    -1          -0.43
   512 A Granby                 17- 1      16    13           0.00
   514 H Chicopee               10- 1       9    14          -1.00
   516 H Agawam                  5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.43
   518 A East Longmeadow         2-13     -11   -11           0.00
   521 A West Springfield, MA   13- 6       7     5           1.09
   523 A Chicopee               10- 3       7    13    -     -3.00
   604 A Algonquin               4-17     -13   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Pope Francis            6-16     -10     0    ---   -9.14
   516 H Agawam                  5-10      -5     1    ---   -6.43
   410 H West Springfield, MA   10- 5       5     7    -     -2.21
   523 A Chicopee               10- 3       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H South Hadley            9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.41
   504 A Belchertown            12- 7       5     0    ++     4.11
   404 A Northampton             4-10      -6    -8    +      2.09
   412 A Agawam                  7- 4       3     0    +      2.86
   505 A Wahconah                3- 6      -3    -6    +      3.86
   507 H East Longmeadow         2-10      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.72 Local Power Rank...........   144
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.77 Local SOS Rank.............   160
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............   125
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    65
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   134
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/