Conf =  Avocado                   Region = CA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Dave Demuth           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8610840    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Poway                  CA 1          ( 9-10, 90.2)     1- 0   
 307 A Scripps Ranch          CA 1          (10-10, 80.9)     8- 7  o
 312 A El Camino              CA 2          (11- 8, 74.8)    10- 7   
 314 H Valley Center          CA 1          (10- 8, 76.8)     8- 6   
 316 H Bishop's School        CA 1          (12- 5, 89.1)     6-12   
 320 H La Jolla HS            CA 1          (13- 8, 86.6)    11-10   
 322 A Mount Carmel, CA       CA 1          ( 4-13, 70.1)    11- 1   
 324 H J Serra Catholic       CA    Trinity ( 6-13, 69.7)    16- 2   
 326 H Dawson School          CO 4A North   (17- 2, 93.5)     6-17   
 328 H Torrey Pines           CA 1          (18- 1, 99.9)     4-15   
 409 H Menlo School           CA    WCAL    (13- 5, 95.2)     5-17   
 413 H Sage Creek             CA 2          ( 1-18, 56.5)    16- 1   
 416 H Canyon Crest           CA 2          (11-11, 79.5)    21- 8   
 418 A La Costa Canyon        CA 1          (15- 3, 95.8)     5-20   
 420 A Del Norte              CA 1          ( 8-10, 80.1)     6-11   
 423 A Francis Parker         CA 2          ( 7-13, 68.4)    16- 2   
 426 H San Dieguito           CA 2          ( 7-14, 67.3)    19- 0   
 502 A Westview, CA           CA 1          (16- 5, 87.0)     5-13   
 504 H San Marcos             CA 1          (15- 5, 88.4)    11-12  o
 508 H Pacific Ridge          CA 1          ( 6-10, 74.9)    14- 8   
 511 A Del Norte              CA 1          ( 8-10, 80.1)    11- 4   
 515 A La Jolla HS            CA 1          (13- 8, 86.6)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Scripps Ranch           8- 7  o    1     0           0.76
   312 A El Camino              10- 7       3     6    -     -3.33
   314 H Valley Center           8- 6       2     6    --    -4.49
   316 H Bishop's School         6-12      -6    -5          -0.09
   320 H La Jolla HS            11-10       1    -3    ++     4.38
   322 A Mount Carmel, CA       11- 1      10    11           0.00
   324 H J Serra Catholic       16- 2      14    13          n/a  
   326 H Dawson School           6-17     -11   -10          n/a  
   328 H Torrey Pines            4-15     -11   -16           0.00
   409 H Menlo School            5-17     -12   -12          n/a  
   413 H Sage Creek             16- 1      15    26           0.00
   416 H Canyon Crest           21- 8      13     3    +++    6.28
   418 A La Costa Canyon         5-20     -15   -14           0.00
   420 A Del Norte               6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.00
   423 A Francis Parker         16- 2      14    12           0.00
   426 H San Dieguito           19- 0      19    15           0.00
   502 A Westview, CA            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.11
   504 H San Marcos             11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.21
   508 H Pacific Ridge          14- 8       6     8    -     -2.34
   511 A Del Norte              11- 4       7     1    ++     6.00
   515 A La Jolla HS             3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Del Norte               6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.00
   314 H Valley Center           8- 6       2     6    --    -4.49
   312 A El Camino              10- 7       3     6    -     -3.33
   502 A Westview, CA            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.11
   508 H Pacific Ridge          14- 8       6     8    -     -2.34
   515 A La Jolla HS             3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Canyon Crest           21- 8      13     3    +++    6.28
   320 H La Jolla HS            11-10       1    -3    ++     4.38
   504 H San Marcos             11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.21
   511 A Del Norte              11- 4       7     1    ++     6.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.19 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.76 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/