Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Hurricanes           Coach  =   Paul Gilbert          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2769318    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 A Wando                  SC 5A SCHSL   (12- 4, 98.8)     9-20   
 303 A Porter-Gaud            SC    SCISA   (13- 2, 93.5)    13-11   
 313 A Epiphany School        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 0-10, 56.6)    15- 0   
 316 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 8, 77.6)    11- 5   
 317 H Cox Mill LC            NC    Indep   ( 9- 7, 86.1)    15- 5   
 319 H Carolina Forest        SC 5A SCHSL   ( 3-11, 72.6)    15- 3   
 321 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 4-11, 71.7)    16- 4   
 324 H Charlotte CDS          NC 1  NCISAA  (16- 8, 90.3)     9-12   
 326 H Providence Day         NC 1  NCISAA  (19- 5, 93.6)     7-15   
 329 A Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 4-10, 69.5)    16- 3   
 405 A Topsail                NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 8, 81.2)    12-10   
 407 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (15- 5, 88.2)     9-12   
 416 H Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5- 7, 73.6)    15- 3   
 418 A Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (10- 8, 89.8)    10-16   
 420 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 4-11, 71.7)    14- 6   
 426 H Topsail                NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 8, 81.2)     7- 8  o
 501 H Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 4-10, 69.5)    17- 0   
 504 A Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5- 7, 73.6)    20- 5   
 511 H Christ The King, NC    NC 2  NCISAA  ( 4- 8, 69.0)    18- 2   
 515 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 8, 77.6)    20- 1   
 519 A Southlake Christian    NC 2  NCISAA  (13- 4, 87.4)    14-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Wando                   9-20     -11   -12          n/a  
   303 A Porter-Gaud            13-11       2    -7          n/a  
   313 A Epiphany School        15- 0      15    29           0.00
   316 H Forsyth Cou Day        11- 5       6     9    -     -3.87
   317 H Cox Mill LC            15- 5      10     1          n/a  
   319 H Carolina Forest        15- 3      12    14          n/a  
   321 H Wilmington Ashley      16- 4      12    15          n/a  
   324 H Charlotte CDS           9-12      -3    -2          -0.14
   326 H Providence Day          7-15      -8    -6          -1.91
   329 A Parrott Academy        16- 3      13    16           0.00
   405 A Topsail                12-10       2     4          n/a  
   407 A Wilmington New Hanover  9-12      -3    -2          n/a  
   416 H Cary Christian         15- 3      12    13           0.00
   418 A Ravenscroft School     10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.65
   420 A Wilmington Ashley      14- 6       8    14          n/a  
   426 H Topsail                 7- 8  o   -1     6          n/a  
   501 H Parrott Academy        17- 0      17    17           0.00
   504 A Cary Christian         20- 5      15    12           0.00
   511 H Christ The King, NC    18- 2      16    18           0.00
   515 H Forsyth Cou Day        20- 1      19     9           0.13
   519 A Southlake Christian    14-17      -3     0    -     -2.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Topsail                 7- 8  o   -1     6    ---        
   316 H Forsyth Cou Day        11- 5       6     9    -     -3.87
   405 A Topsail                12-10       2     4    -          
   418 A Ravenscroft School     10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.65
   420 A Wilmington Ashley      14- 6       8    14    -          
   519 A Southlake Christian    14-17      -3     0    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Porter-Gaud            13-11       2    -7    +++        
   317 H Cox Mill LC            15- 5      10     1    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.97 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.47 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.7
/