Conf =  Dist-XI                   Region = PA    EPC-E            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Tony Fabrizio         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5787277    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Easton Area, PA        PA    EPC-E   (11- 9, 83.7)     8-16   
 329 A Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 5-13, 65.4)    21- 3   
 403 H Emmaus                 PA    EPC-W   (13- 8, 86.1)     7-14   
 405 H Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 0-12, 56.9)    19- 2   
 407 A Central Cath, Allentow PA    EPC-W   (16- 6, 90.6)     2-18   
 409 H Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   ( 7- 9, 79.0)     5- 4   
 410 A Parkland, PA           PA    EPC-W   (20- 4, 94.0)     3-18   
 412 H Pleasant Valley        PA    EPC-E   ( 5-12, 67.0)    15- 5   
 414 H Moravian Academy       PA    Indep   ( 7- 6, 80.7)     5-13   
 417 A Nazareth Area, PA      PA    EPC-E   ( 5-13, 75.0)     5- 6  o
 419 H Liberty, Bethlehem     PA    EPC-E   ( 2-14, 64.0)    16- 4   
 421 A Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   ( 7- 9, 79.0)     4-11   
 424 H Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 5-13, 65.4)    19- 7   
 426 A Pleasant Valley        PA    EPC-E   ( 5-12, 67.0)    18- 4   
 430 A Southern Lehigh        PA    Indep   (15- 4, 91.9)     2-14   
 501 A Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 0-12, 56.9)    18- 6   
 507 A Liberty, Bethlehem     PA    EPC-E   ( 2-14, 64.0)    16- 6   
 517 A Delaware Valley, PA    PA    WVLL    (13- 7, 83.8)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Easton Area, PA         8-16      -8    -6          -1.92
   329 A Northampton Area       21- 3      18    11           0.00
   403 H Emmaus                  7-14      -7    -8           1.48
   405 H Bethlehem Catholic     19- 2      17    20           0.00
   407 A Central Cath, Allentow  2-18     -16   -13           0.00
   409 H Saucon Valley           5- 4       1    -1    +      2.41
   410 A Parkland, PA            3-18     -15   -17           0.00
   412 H Pleasant Valley        15- 5      10    10           0.00
   414 H Moravian Academy        5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.89
   417 A Nazareth Area, PA       5- 6  o   -1     1    -     -2.98
   419 H Liberty, Bethlehem     16- 4      12    13           0.00
   421 A Saucon Valley           4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.95
   424 H Northampton Area       19- 7      12    12           0.00
   426 A Pleasant Valley        18- 4      14     9           0.03
   430 A Southern Lehigh         2-14     -12   -15           0.00
   501 A Bethlehem Catholic     18- 6      12    19           0.00
   507 A Liberty, Bethlehem     16- 6      10    12           0.00
   517 A Delaware Valley, PA     4-14     -10    -7          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Moravian Academy        5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.89
   421 A Saucon Valley           4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.95
   417 A Nazareth Area, PA       5- 6  o   -1     1    -     -2.98
   517 A Delaware Valley, PA     4-14     -10    -7    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Saucon Valley           5- 4       1    -1    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.25 Local Power Rank...........    54
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.95 Local SOS Rank.............    71
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    56
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    43
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/