Region = NE 1 West Nickname = A Bears Coach = Chris PerkinsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.7592163 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 324 N Blair Academy NJ Private ( 8-10, 76.7) 14- 6 331 H Northfield Mt Hermon NE 1 West ( 1-14, 69.6) 16- 2 404 A Deerfield Academy, MA NE 1 West (13- 2, 93.9) 8-10 407 H Salisbury School NE 1 West (16- 2, 98.4) 5-14 411 H Avon Old Farms NE 1 West-FL (13- 7, 92.0) 3-11 414 A Loomis Chaffee School NE 1 West-FL ( 5-15, 82.2) 8- 7 o 418 A Hotchkiss School NE 1 West-FL ( 3-12, 79.9) 12-10 421 A Kent School NE 1 West-FL ( 2-13, 74.8) 13- 5 425 A Williston Northampton NE 2 West (12- 5, 97.6) 8- 9 427 A Gunnery School NE 2 West ( 7-12, 90.3) 12- 1 428 H Trinity-Pawling School NE 1 West-FL ( 6- 9, 88.1) 6- 4 502 A Albany Academy NE 2 West ( 9- 3, 98.9) 16- 7 504 H Taft School, CT NE 1 West-FL (12- 3, 94.6) 7-15 505 A Choate Rosemary Hall NE 1 West-FL ( 9- 6, 89.5) 5- 6 509 A Westminster School, CT NE 1 West-FL ( 8- 7, 89.2) 10- 6 512 H Wilbraham & Monson NE 2 West ( 7- 7, 91.8) 10- 6 514 H Canterbury School, CT NE 2 West ( 4-15, 85.7) 18- 8 516 H Millbrook School, NY NE 2 West ( 4-11, 87.9) 15- 4 519 A Brunswick School, CT NE 1 West (16- 1, 99.9) 4-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 N Blair Academy 14- 6 8 13 n/a 331 H Northfield Mt Hermon 16- 2 14 21 0.00 404 A Deerfield Academy, MA 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.31 407 H Salisbury School 5-14 -9 -7 -1.88 411 H Avon Old Farms 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.22 414 A Loomis Chaffee School 8- 7 o 1 7 --- -6.39 418 A Hotchkiss School 12-10 2 9 --- -7.71 421 A Kent School 13- 5 8 14 - -2.00 425 A Williston Northampton 8- 9 -1 -8 n/a 427 A Gunnery School 12- 1 11 0 n/a 428 H Trinity-Pawling School 6- 4 2 3 -1.17 502 A Albany Academy 16- 7 9 -9 n/a 504 H Taft School, CT 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.60 505 A Choate Rosemary Hall 5- 6 -1 0 -1.03 509 A Westminster School, CT 10- 6 4 0 + 3.64 512 H Wilbraham & Monson 10- 6 4 0 n/a 514 H Canterbury School, CT 18- 8 10 5 n/a 516 H Millbrook School, NY 15- 4 11 3 n/a 519 A Brunswick School, CT 4-12 -8 -10 + 2.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Avon Old Farms 3-11 -8 0 --- -7.22 414 A Loomis Chaffee School 8- 7 o 1 7 --- -6.39 418 A Hotchkiss School 12-10 2 9 --- -7.71 504 H Taft School, CT 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.60 324 N Blair Academy 14- 6 8 13 - 421 A Kent School 13- 5 8 14 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Williston Northampton 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 427 A Gunnery School 12- 1 11 0 +++ 502 A Albany Academy 16- 7 9 -9 +++ 516 H Millbrook School, NY 15- 4 11 3 +++ 512 H Wilbraham & Monson 10- 6 4 0 ++ 514 H Canterbury School, CT 18- 8 10 5 ++ 404 A Deerfield Academy, MA 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.31 509 A Westminster School, CT 10- 6 4 0 + 3.64 519 A Brunswick School, CT 4-12 -8 -10 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.41 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 74.83 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 6 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3