Conf =  Monroe-2                  Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Barons               Coach  =   Cory Holbrough        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1481323    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 96.9)    10-17   
 329 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 6, 92.7)    16-18   
 410 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 81.0)    13-10   
 412 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 85.5)     8- 7   
 417 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 89.2)     8- 5   
 419 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (20- 2, 99.9)     4-13   
 421 A Christian Bros, Syr    NY D  Sec 3   (12- 8, 90.4)     3-12   
 424 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.5)     6- 7   
 426 H Webster Schroeder      NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 90.8)     6- 5   
 501 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.1)     5-14   
 508 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 89.5)     9-10  o
 510 H Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 84.7)    18-11   
 512 H Aquinas Institute, NY  NY D  Sec 5   (11- 8, 84.9)    20- 5   
 514 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 76.3)    19- 9   
 516 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (12- 6, 86.9)    16- 9   
 518 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (17- 4, 99.9)    11-14   
 521 H Brockport Central      NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-13, 68.2)    15- 2   
 523 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 96.9)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Webster Thomas         10-17      -7    -9    +      2.95
   329 H Penfield               16-18      -2    -4    +      2.35
   410 A Churchville-Chili      13-10       3     5    -     -2.92
   412 H Hilton                  8- 7       1     2          -1.84
   417 A Irondequoit             8- 5       3    -2    ++     5.27
   419 H Victor                  4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   421 A Christian Bros, Syr     3-12      -9    -3          n/a  
   424 A Canandaigua             6- 7      -1     0          -1.47
   426 H Webster Schroeder       6- 5       1    -2    +      3.52
   501 H Fairport                5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.20
   508 A Pittsford               9-10  o   -1    -2           1.53
   510 H Spencerport            18-11       7     3    +      3.43
   512 H Aquinas Institute, NY  20- 5      15     3    +++    6.61
   514 H Rush-Henrietta         19- 9      10    12           0.00
   516 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     16- 9       7     1    ++     5.58
   518 A St Joseph Collegiate   11-14      -3   -12          n/a  
   521 H Brockport Central      15- 2      13    20           0.00
   523 A Webster Thomas          9-16      -7    -9    +      2.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Christian Bros, Syr     3-12      -9    -3    --         
   410 A Churchville-Chili      13-10       3     5    -     -2.92
   501 H Fairport                5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Aquinas Institute, NY  20- 5      15     3    +++    6.61
   518 A St Joseph Collegiate   11-14      -3   -12    +++        
   417 A Irondequoit             8- 5       3    -2    ++     5.27
   516 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     16- 9       7     1    ++     5.58
   327 A Webster Thomas         10-17      -7    -9    +      2.95
   329 H Penfield               16-18      -2    -4    +      2.35
   426 H Webster Schroeder       6- 5       1    -2    +      3.52
   510 H Spencerport            18-11       7     3    +      3.43
   523 A Webster Thomas          9-16      -7    -9    +      2.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.63 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.92 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/