Region = NY D  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Alfredo Meola         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8451004    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.1)     8-10   
 407 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.3)     4- 2   
 409 H Pelham Memorial        NY C  Sec 1   (11- 9, 87.3)     5- 3   
 411 A Dobbs Ferry            NY D  Sec 1   ( 3-13, 66.0)    15- 1   
 414 A Madison, NJ            NJ 1  South   (14- 5, 86.8)     2- 9   
 417 H Irvington              NY D  Sec 1   (10- 8, 75.2)    11- 2   
 419 A Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   ( 7-11, 84.3)     8- 6   
 421 H Putnam Valley          NY D  Sec 1   ( 9- 8, 80.6)    10- 4   
 423 A Bronxville             NY D  Sec 1   ( 9- 9, 85.8)     8-14   
 425 H Pawling                NY D  Sec 1   ( 4-11, 64.6)    14- 1   
 503 H Archbishop Stepinac    NY NY AAA-AA  (14- 6, 87.8)     3- 6   
 505 A Newtown                CT L          (16- 5, 89.0)     7-12   
 507 H Ridgefield             CT L          (16- 5, 95.1)     3- 9   
 509 N Croton Harmon          NY D  Sec 1   ( 7-10, 76.2)    13- 3   
 512 H Pleasantville          NY D  Sec 1   (21- 1, 97.7)     8-10   
 516 H Westlake, NY           NY D  Sec 1   (12- 7, 86.9)     6-12   
 519 H Pawling                NY D  Sec 1   ( 4-11, 64.6)     1- 0   
 522 H Keio Academy           NY D  Sec 1   (11- 7, 77.9)    15- 4   
 524 A Pleasantville          NY D  Sec 1   (21- 1, 97.7)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Lindenhurst             8-10      -2     1          n/a  
   407 H Sachem North            4- 2       2     7          n/a  
   409 H Pelham Memorial         5- 3       2    -1    +      3.48
   411 A Dobbs Ferry            15- 1      14    16           0.00
   414 A Madison, NJ             2- 9      -7    -3          n/a  
   417 H Irvington              11- 2       9    10          -1.00
   419 A Lakeland-Panas          8- 6       2    -1    +      3.47
   421 H Putnam Valley          10- 4       6     5           0.76
   423 A Bronxville              8-14      -6    -3    -     -3.00
   425 H Pawling                14- 1      13    21           0.00
   503 H Archbishop Stepinac     3- 6      -3    -2          n/a  
   505 A Newtown                 7-12      -5    -5          n/a  
   507 H Ridgefield              3- 9      -6    -9          n/a  
   509 N Croton Harmon          13- 3      10     8           1.90
   512 H Pleasantville           8-10      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   516 H Westlake, NY            6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.90
   522 H Keio Academy           15- 4      11     7    +      2.06
   524 A Pleasantville           5- 9      -4   -14    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Sachem North            4- 2       2     7    --         
   516 H Westlake, NY            6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.90
   326 A Lindenhurst             8-10      -2     1    -          
   414 A Madison, NJ             2- 9      -7    -3    -          
   423 A Bronxville              8-14      -6    -3    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Pleasantville           8-10      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   524 A Pleasantville           5- 9      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   409 H Pelham Memorial         5- 3       2    -1    +      3.48
   419 A Lakeland-Panas          8- 6       2    -1    +      3.47
   507 H Ridgefield              3- 9      -6    -9    +          
   522 H Keio Academy           15- 4      11     7    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.33 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.00 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/