Region = VA 1  VIC              
   Nickname = A Barons               Coach  =   Michael Herring       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.1113968    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Covenant School        VA 2  VIC     ( 3- 9, 74.7)    21- 2   
 316 H St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (10- 9, 93.5)     7- 9   
 317 H Calverton              MD    MILL-E  ( 8-12, 85.5)    14- 8   
 323 A Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     ( 7-14, 86.7)     9- 3   
 324 A St Andrews Episc, DC   DC    MAC     (12- 5, 91.0)    12-10   
 327 A Fork Union Mil Academy VA 1  Indep   ( 8- 7, 77.8)    18- 3   
 406 A Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (14- 8, 93.4)    12-13   
 407 H Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (14- 9, 89.6)    12-10   
 410 H Virginia Episcopal     VA 2  VIC     ( 9- 7, 87.5)    15-11   
 413 A Middleburg Academy     MD    MILL-W  ( 7- 9, 73.6)    18- 2   
 419 A Hargrave Military Acad VA 2  VIC     (10- 6, 79.0)    18- 4   
 421 H Highland School, VA    VA 2  Delaney ( 9- 6, 83.4)    21- 7   
 424 H Roanoke Catholic       VA 2  VIC     ( 6- 5, 76.2)    20- 4   
 425 H Benedictine            VA 1  Indep   ( 1-14, 67.2)    17- 0   
 428 H Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr (11- 7, 92.0)    17- 8   
 501 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A Reg D   (13- 4, 90.0)    17-13   
 504 A North Cross            VA 2  VIC     (15- 3, 91.9)     8- 6   
 507 H Roanoke Catholic       VA 2  VIC     ( 6- 5, 76.2)    18- 0   
 509 H North Cross            VA 2  VIC     (15- 3, 91.9)    15- 5   
 512 A Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (14- 8, 93.4)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Covenant School        21- 2      19    21           0.00
   316 H St Christopher's        7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.95
   317 H Calverton              14- 8       6    10          n/a  
   323 A Woodberry Forest        9- 3       6     9    -     -3.19
   324 A St Andrews Episc, DC   12-10       2     4          n/a  
   327 A Fork Union Mil Academy 18- 3      15    17           0.00
   406 A Collegiate School      12-13      -1     2    -     -3.46
   407 H Flint Hill             12-10       2     6          n/a  
   410 H Virginia Episcopal     15-11       4     8    --    -4.88
   413 A Middleburg Academy     18- 2      16    22          n/a  
   419 A Hargrave Military Acad 18- 4      14    16           0.00
   421 H Highland School, VA    21- 7      14    12           0.00
   424 H Roanoke Catholic       20- 4      16    20           0.00
   425 H Benedictine            17- 0      17    29           0.00
   428 H Bishop Sullivan        17- 8       9     4    ++     4.64
   501 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 17-13       4     5          n/a  
   504 A North Cross             8- 6       2     3          -1.97
   507 H Roanoke Catholic       18- 0      18    20           0.00
   509 H North Cross            15- 5      10     4    ++     5.47
   512 A Collegiate School       9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Collegiate School       9-14      -5     2    ---   -7.46
   316 H St Christopher's        7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.95
   317 H Calverton              14- 8       6    10    --         
   407 H Flint Hill             12-10       2     6    --         
   410 H Virginia Episcopal     15-11       4     8    --    -4.88
   323 A Woodberry Forest        9- 3       6     9    -     -3.19
   324 A St Andrews Episc, DC   12-10       2     4    -          
   406 A Collegiate School      12-13      -1     2    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Bishop Sullivan        17- 8       9     4    ++     4.64
   509 H North Cross            15- 5      10     4    ++     5.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.13 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.14 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/