Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   John Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.1867981    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A New Milford            CT L          ( 9-10, 76.3)    13- 5   
 405 A Notre Dame, West Haven CT M          (12- 8, 83.1)     6- 5   
 407 A Simsbury               CT L          ( 8-10, 82.3)     7- 5   
 410 A Weston, CT             CT M          (15- 5, 85.8)     5- 6   
 412 H Masuk                  CT M          (11- 7, 79.2)    10- 7   
 414 H Glastonbury            CT L          (14- 6, 89.9)     2-10   
 417 A Stratford, CT          CT M          ( 6-10, 71.2)    16- 2   
 420 H Brookfield, CT         CT M          (10- 9, 74.3)    14- 5   
 421 A Wantagh                NY C  Sec 8   (12- 6, 89.0)     7-10   
 424 H Bethel, CT             CT M          ( 7-11, 72.6)    20- 6   
 426 H New Fairfield          CT M          (22- 0, 97.6)     1-13   
 428 A Daniel Hand            CT M          (14- 7, 87.8)     9- 8   
 505 H Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)     4- 9   
 508 A Newtown                CT L          (16- 5, 89.0)    10-14   
 510 A Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 6-10, 71.4)    13- 4   
 521 H Pomperaug              CT L          ( 5-11, 71.7)    17- 3   
 522 H New Milford            CT L          ( 9-10, 76.3)    17- 4   
 523 A New Fairfield          CT M          (22- 0, 97.6)     6-16   
 526 H Norwich-Windham Tech   CT M          ( 6- 9, 61.6)    26- 2   
 530 A Masuk                  CT M          (11- 7, 79.2)    10- 9 3o
 602 A Waterford              CT M          (16- 5, 81.7)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A New Milford            13- 5       8     7           0.97
   405 A Notre Dame, West Haven  6- 5       1     0           0.74
   407 A Simsbury                7- 5       2     1           0.96
   410 A Weston, CT              5- 6      -1    -2           1.48
   412 H Masuk                  10- 7       3     6    -     -3.12
   414 H Glastonbury             2-10      -8    -4    -     -3.46
   417 A Stratford, CT          16- 2      14    12           0.00
   420 H Brookfield, CT         14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   421 A Wantagh                 7-10      -3    -5          n/a  
   424 H Bethel, CT             20- 6      14    12           0.00
   426 H New Fairfield           1-13     -12   -12           0.00
   428 A Daniel Hand             9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.46
   505 H Guilford                4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.51
   508 A Newtown                10-14      -4    -5           1.67
   510 A Bunnell-Stratford      13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   521 H Pomperaug              17- 3      14    13           0.00
   522 H New Milford            17- 4      13     9           0.99
   523 A New Fairfield           6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   526 H Norwich-Windham Tech   26- 2      24    23           0.00
   530 A Masuk                  10- 9 3o    1     4    -     -3.13
   602 A Waterford               3- 9      -6     1    ---   -7.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 A Waterford               3- 9      -6     1    ---   -7.63
   505 H Guilford                4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.51
   412 H Masuk                  10- 7       3     6    -     -3.12
   414 H Glastonbury             2-10      -8    -4    -     -3.46
   530 A Masuk                  10- 9 3o    1     4    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Daniel Hand             9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.46
   421 A Wantagh                 7-10      -3    -5    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.35 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.53 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/