Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-06          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Tom Wetherby          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9966812    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-07 ( 8- 7, 75.0)    17- 9   
 302 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-06 ( 7- 8, 77.6)     8- 4   
 305 A Sanderson              NC    Conf-04 ( 4-10, 75.3)    14- 5   
 307 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-06 ( 4-12, 64.7)     9- 0   
 309 A Pinecrest              NC    Conf-06 ( 4-11, 69.9)    13- 4   
 319 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-06 (10- 8, 81.9)     8- 7   
 323 A Green Hope             NC    Conf-06 (15- 3, 90.7)     7-12   
 327 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-06 ( 7- 8, 77.6)    12- 4   
 328 H Wake Forest            NC    Conf-03 ( 6-10, 73.5)    14- 5   
 409 H Riverside, Durham      NC    Conf-06 ( 1-15, 61.4)    19- 3   
 410 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-06 ( 4-12, 64.7)    16- 1   
 413 H Pinecrest              NC    Conf-06 ( 4-11, 69.9)    15- 0   
 417 A Riverside, Durham      NC    Conf-06 ( 1-15, 61.4)    19- 3   
 419 H Apex                   NC    Conf-05 (13- 6, 91.5)     4-12   
 421 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-07 (19- 2, 89.3)     5-15   
 424 A Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-06 (10- 8, 81.9)     9-10   
 427 H Green Hope             NC    Conf-06 (15- 3, 90.7)     6-20   
 504 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-05 (21- 1, 99.9)     3-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Hillsborough Orange    17- 9       8     9          -1.06
   302 A Panther Creek           8- 4       4     4          -0.33
   305 A Sanderson              14- 5       9     6    +      2.29
   307 A Cary HS                 9- 0       9    17          -1.00
   309 A Pinecrest              13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   319 H Durham Jordan           8- 7       1     2          -1.07
   323 A Green Hope              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.75
   327 H Panther Creek          12- 4       8     6           1.63
   328 H Wake Forest            14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   409 H Riverside, Durham      19- 3      16    22           0.00
   410 H Cary HS                16- 1      15    19           0.00
   413 H Pinecrest              15- 0      15    14           0.00
   417 A Riverside, Durham      19- 3      16    20           0.00
   419 H Apex                    4-12      -8    -7          -0.51
   421 A East Chapel Hill        5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.71
   424 A Durham Jordan           9-10      -1     0          -1.04
   427 H Green Hope              6-20     -14    -6    -     -3.28
   504 A Middle Creek            3-20     -17   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A East Chapel Hill        5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.71
   427 H Green Hope              6-20     -14    -6    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Sanderson              14- 5       9     6    +      2.29
   323 A Green Hope              7-12      -5    -8    +      3.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.00 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.11 Local SOS Rank.............    49
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.7
/