Conf =  Sec5                      Region = MN 1  NoWest           
   Nickname = N Falcons              Coach  =   Luke Gellerman        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.0158539    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 418 H Centennial, MN         MN 1  NoWest  ( 9- 7, 85.0)    10-11   
 421 A White Bear Lake        MN 1  East    ( 9- 6, 89.2)     2-17   
 427 A Blaine                 MN 1  NoWest  ( 7- 7, 83.9)     8- 7   
 430 A Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  ( 8- 6, 82.7)     9-10   
 502 H Irondale               MN 1  NoWest  (14- 1, 92.0)     9-13   
 504 H Anoka                  MN 1  NoWest  ( 1-12, 71.8)    15- 6   
 507 A Elk River              MN 1  NoWest  (12- 3, 90.6)     9-19   
 509 H Osseo-Park Center      MN 1  NoWest  ( 5- 9, 79.8)     9- 8  o
 514 A Maple Grove            MN 1  NoWest  ( 7- 8, 83.4)    12-10   
 516 H Totino Grace           MN 1  NoWest  ( 3-11, 73.7)    14- 9   
 519 A Orono                  MN 1  Indep   ( 7- 8, 87.7)     8-16   
 521 A Spring Lake Park       MN 1  NoWest  ( 1-13, 72.2)     7- 4   
 523 A Andover, MN            MN 1  NoWest  (11- 4, 84.6)    10-11   
 531 H Osseo-Park Center      MN 1  NoWest  ( 5- 9, 79.8)     9- 8   
 604 A Benilde-St Margaret's  MN 1  MetWest (17- 1, 99.1)     0-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Centennial, MN         10-11      -1    -2           1.87
   421 A White Bear Lake         2-17     -15    -8          -1.32
   427 A Blaine                  8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.44
   430 A Champlin Park           9-10      -1    -2           1.23
   502 H Irondale                9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.79
   504 H Anoka                  15- 6       9    10          -1.00
   507 A Elk River               9-19     -10   -10           0.00
   509 H Osseo-Park Center       9- 8  o    1     2          -1.32
   514 A Maple Grove            12-10       2    -2    ++     4.97
   516 H Totino Grace           14- 9       5     8    -     -3.45
   519 A Orono                   8-16      -8    -7          -0.79
   521 A Spring Lake Park        7- 4       3     8    --    -5.27
   523 A Andover, MN            10-11      -1    -4    +      3.10
   531 H Osseo-Park Center       9- 8       1     2          -1.32
   604 A Benilde-St Margaret's   0-14     -14   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Spring Lake Park        7- 4       3     8    --    -5.27
   516 H Totino Grace           14- 9       5     8    -     -3.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Blaine                  8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.44
   502 H Irondale                9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.79
   514 A Maple Grove            12-10       2    -2    ++     4.97
   523 A Andover, MN            10-11      -1    -4    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.32 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.02 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/