Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8935928    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 73.5)    17- 3   
 405 H Central Catholic, MA   MA 1  North   (13- 7, 85.4)    10- 5   
 407 A Reading                MA 2  North   (16- 7, 91.3)     5- 9   
 410 H Haverhill              MA 1  North   ( 3-15, 68.0)    16- 1   
 412 A Dracut                 MA 3  North   (10-10, 81.6)    15- 2   
 417 N Lincoln-Sudbury Reg    MA 1  North   (11- 7, 94.1)     3-13   
 421 H Concord-Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (18- 6, 91.5)     6- 9   
 424 H Billerica              MA 2  North   (16- 6, 89.7)     7-10   
 426 A Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 77.9)    11- 5   
 428 N Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (19- 3, 98.3)     5-16   
 430 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 0-18, 67.1)     7- 1   
 502 A Central Catholic, MA   MA 1  North   (13- 7, 85.4)    11- 3   
 504 A Haverhill              MA 1  North   ( 3-15, 68.0)    14- 1   
 509 H Chelmsford             MA 1  North   (15- 6, 86.9)     7-12   
 518 A Pinkerton Academy      NH 1          (19- 2, 98.7)     7-14   
 522 H Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 77.9)    12- 4   
 523 A Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 73.5)    12- 4   
 529 H North Andover          MA 1  North   (15- 4, 91.5)     5- 8   
 530 A Dover-Sherborn         MA 3  CenEast (15- 8, 88.9)     9-10  o
 606 H Lexington, MA          MA 1  North   ( 8- 9, 83.8)    10- 5   
 609 A North Andover          MA 1  North   (15- 4, 91.5)    11- 8   
 612 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   (15- 6, 86.9)    14- 7   
 615 N Acton Boxborough       MA 1  North   (15- 8, 89.8)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Methuen                17- 3      14    14           0.00
   405 H Central Catholic, MA   10- 5       5     2    +      2.75
   407 A Reading                 5- 9      -4    -4           0.90
   410 H Haverhill              16- 1      15    19           0.00
   412 A Dracut                 15- 2      13     4    ++     5.23
   417 N Lincoln-Sudbury Reg     3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.94
   421 H Concord-Carlisle        6- 9      -3    -3           0.79
   424 H Billerica               7-10      -3    -1          -1.00
   426 A Lowell                 11- 5       6     8    -     -2.53
   428 N Seton Hall Prep         5-16     -11   -11          n/a  
   430 A Tewksbury Memorial      7- 1       6    19    --    -4.00
   502 A Central Catholic, MA   11- 3       8     0    +++    7.04
   504 A Haverhill              14- 1      13    18           0.00
   509 H Chelmsford              7-12      -5     0    --    -5.80
   518 A Pinkerton Academy       7-14      -7   -12          n/a  
   522 H Lowell                 12- 4       8     9          -1.83
   523 A Methuen                12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   529 H North Andover           5- 8      -3    -3           0.78
   530 A Dover-Sherborn          9-10  o   -1    -2           1.48
   606 H Lexington, MA          10- 5       5     3           1.16
   609 A North Andover          11- 8       3    -5    +++    8.08
   612 A Chelmsford             14- 7       7     0    +++    7.50
   615 N Acton Boxborough        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Tewksbury Memorial      7- 1       6    19    --    -4.00
   509 H Chelmsford              7-12      -5     0    --    -5.80
   417 N Lincoln-Sudbury Reg     3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.94
   426 A Lowell                 11- 5       6     8    -     -2.53
   523 A Methuen                12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   615 N Acton Boxborough        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Central Catholic, MA   11- 3       8     0    +++    7.04
   609 A North Andover          11- 8       3    -5    +++    8.08
   612 A Chelmsford             14- 7       7     0    +++    7.50
   412 A Dracut                 15- 2      13     4    ++     5.23
   405 H Central Catholic, MA   10- 5       5     2    +      2.75
   518 A Pinkerton Academy       7-14      -7   -12    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.03 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.87 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    77
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/