Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Scarlet Knight       Coach  =   Ryan Connolly         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9719543    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Burlington, MA         MA 2  North   (10- 9, 81.9)    16- 5   
 405 A Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 77.9)    19- 4   
 410 A Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 0-18, 67.1)    17- 2   
 412 H Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 73.5)    15- 2   
 417 N Dover-Sherborn         MA 3  CenEast (15- 8, 88.9)    15- 8   
 421 N Winchester, MA         MA 2  North   (16- 4, 91.8)    10- 6   
 424 A Haverhill              MA 1  North   ( 3-15, 68.0)    16- 0   
 426 H Billerica              MA 2  North   (16- 6, 89.7)    11- 7   
 430 H Central Catholic, MA   MA 1  North   (13- 7, 85.4)     7- 8   
 504 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 0-18, 67.1)    18- 2   
 507 H Chelmsford             MA 1  North   (15- 6, 86.9)    15- 8   
 509 H Dracut                 MA 3  North   (10-10, 81.6)     8- 5   
 514 A Billerica              MA 2  North   (16- 6, 89.7)     7- 9   
 517 A Dracut                 MA 3  North   (10-10, 81.6)     9- 6   
 521 A Masconomet             MA 2  North   (12- 8, 86.2)    11- 9   
 523 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   (15- 6, 86.9)     8- 4   
 529 A Andover HS, MA         MA 1  North   (13-10, 87.0)     8- 5   
 530 H Hingham                MA 1  South   (22- 2, 99.1)     5-12   
 609 H Andover HS, MA         MA 1  North   (13-10, 87.0)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Burlington, MA         16- 5      11    10           0.00
   405 A Lowell                 19- 4      15    12           0.00
   410 A Tewksbury Memorial     17- 2      15    23           0.00
   412 H Methuen                15- 2      13    18           0.00
   417 N Dover-Sherborn         15- 8       7     2    ++     4.40
   421 N Winchester, MA         10- 6       4     0    ++     4.37
   424 A Haverhill              16- 0      16    22           0.00
   426 H Billerica              11- 7       4     2           1.57
   430 H Central Catholic, MA    7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.68
   504 H Tewksbury Memorial     18- 2      16    25           0.00
   507 H Chelmsford             15- 8       7     5           1.77
   509 H Dracut                  8- 5       3    10    ---   -7.00
   514 A Billerica               7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.14
   517 A Dracut                  9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.20
   521 A Masconomet             11- 9       2     4    -     -2.58
   523 A Chelmsford              8- 4       4     3           0.07
   529 A Andover HS, MA          8- 5       3     3          -0.78
   530 H Hingham                 5-12      -7    -7           0.00
   609 H Andover HS, MA          8-11      -3     5    ---   -8.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Central Catholic, MA    7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.68
   509 H Dracut                  8- 5       3    10    ---   -7.00
   517 A Dracut                  9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.20
   609 H Andover HS, MA          8-11      -3     5    ---   -8.08
   514 A Billerica               7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.14
   521 A Masconomet             11- 9       2     4    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N Dover-Sherborn         15- 8       7     2    ++     4.40
   421 N Winchester, MA         10- 6       4     0    ++     4.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.46 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.03 Local SOS Rank.............    37
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   145
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/