Region = VA 4A Reg A            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Blair Penny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9230118    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Powhatan               VA 4A Reg A   ( 5-10, 74.5)    17-14   
 316 A Fluvanna County        VA 4A Reg A   ( 0-15, 60.5)    14- 2   
 323 H Fluvanna County        VA 4A Reg A   ( 0-15, 60.5)    12- 3   
 328 H Hanover, VA            VA 4A Reg A   ( 8- 7, 80.6)    10-17   
 411 A Powhatan               VA 4A Reg A   ( 5-10, 74.5)    16-12   
 412 H Lee-Davis              VA 5A Reg B   ( 4- 9, 71.7)     9- 6   
 416 H Mills Godwin           VA 5A Reg B   ( 8- 7, 81.8)     7-14   
 417 H Massaponax             VA 5A Reg D   ( 6- 9, 74.6)    11-12   
 419 A Atlee, VA              VA 5A Reg B   (13- 2, 95.2)     4-19   
 426 A Hanover, VA            VA 4A Reg A   ( 8- 7, 80.6)     7-17   
 502 H Hermitage              VA 5A Reg B   ( 0-13, 57.0)    20- 0   
 503 A Lee-Davis              VA 5A Reg B   ( 4- 9, 71.7)    12- 6   
 508 A Massaponax             VA 5A Reg D   ( 6- 9, 74.6)     6-13   
 521 A Hanover, VA            VA 4A Reg A   ( 8- 7, 80.6)    12-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Powhatan               17-14       3     2           0.10
   316 A Fluvanna County        14- 2      12    14           0.00
   323 H Fluvanna County        12- 3       9    16          -1.00
   328 H Hanover, VA            10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.79
   411 A Powhatan               16-12       4     0    +      3.66
   412 H Lee-Davis               9- 6       3     5    -     -2.69
   416 H Mills Godwin            7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.62
   417 H Massaponax             11-12      -1     2    -     -3.83
   419 A Atlee, VA               4-19     -15   -20           0.00
   426 A Hanover, VA             7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.23
   502 H Hermitage              20- 0      20    20           0.00
   503 A Lee-Davis              12- 6       6     3    +      2.87
   508 A Massaponax              6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.27
   521 A Hanover, VA            12-16      -4    -5           1.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Massaponax              6-13      -7     0    ---   -7.27
   426 A Hanover, VA             7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.23
   328 H Hanover, VA            10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.79
   412 H Lee-Davis               9- 6       3     5    -     -2.69
   416 H Mills Godwin            7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.62
   417 H Massaponax             11-12      -1     2    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Powhatan               16-12       4     0    +      3.66
   503 A Lee-Davis              12- 6       6     3    +      2.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.14 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.91 Local SOS Rank.............    92
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    76
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    84
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    57
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/