Region = VA 5A Reg D            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   David King            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7842255    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Douglas Freeman        VA 5A Reg B   ( 9- 8, 83.1)     4- 5   
 323 A Mills Godwin           VA 5A Reg B   ( 8- 7, 81.8)     9- 8   
 327 H Powhatan               VA 4A Reg A   ( 5-10, 74.5)    14- 6   
 329 H Deep Run               VA 5A Reg B   (10- 4, 85.4)     7- 9   
 410 A Western Albemarle      VA 4A Reg A   (11- 6, 89.0)     9-11   
 413 H Monticello, VA         VA 4A Reg A   ( 9- 7, 79.4)    12- 7   
 417 H Fluvanna County        VA 4A Reg A   ( 0-15, 60.5)    15- 3   
 424 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A Reg D   (13- 4, 90.0)     6-13   
 426 N Salem, VA              VA 4A Reg D   (12- 6, 80.8)     6- 6 2o
 427 A St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (10- 9, 93.5)     1-11   
 501 H Western Albemarle      VA 4A Reg A   (11- 6, 89.0)     9- 8  o
 508 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A Reg A   ( 9- 7, 79.4)     9- 8   
 510 A Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     ( 7-14, 86.7)     3-12   
 515 A Charlottesville        VA 4A Reg A   ( 6- 8, 74.2)    11- 3   
 521 H Potomac-Dumfries       VA 5A Reg D   ( 6- 9, 71.7)    19- 3   
 523 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA 5A Reg D   (13- 4, 90.0)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Douglas Freeman         4- 5      -1     0          -1.89
   323 A Mills Godwin            9- 8       1     0           1.35
   327 H Powhatan               14- 6       8     9          -1.50
   329 H Deep Run                7- 9      -2    -1          -0.58
   410 A Western Albemarle       9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.58
   413 H Monticello, VA         12- 7       5     4           0.35
   417 H Fluvanna County        15- 3      12    23           0.00
   424 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke  6-13      -7    -8           1.56
   426 N Salem, VA               6- 6 2o    0     1          -1.90
   427 A St Christopher's        1-11     -10   -11          n/a  
   501 H Western Albemarle       9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.02
   508 A Monticello, VA          9- 8       1     2          -1.08
   510 A Woodberry Forest        3-12      -9    -4          n/a  
   515 A Charlottesville        11- 3       8     7           0.71
   521 H Potomac-Dumfries       19- 3      16    12           0.00
   523 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke  6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Woodberry Forest        3-12      -9    -4    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Western Albemarle       9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.02
   523 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke  6- 8      -2    -8    +++    6.56
   410 A Western Albemarle       9-11      -2    -7    ++     5.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.73 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.68 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/