Conf =  Valley                    Region = MA 2  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Joe Henney            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.2891769    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Westfield, MA          MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 87.2)     5-16   
 410 H Chicopee               MA 2  CenWest ( 2-16, 58.0)    10- 2   
 412 H Chicopee Comprehensive MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 71.7)     4- 7   
 417 H East Longmeadow        MA 3  CenWest (18- 2, 82.9)     7-14   
 424 H Minnechaug Regional    MA 2  CenWest (14- 6, 85.9)     4-12   
 426 A Amherst-Pelham Reg     MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 73.9)     4- 8   
 504 A Pope Francis           MA 3  CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2)     8- 9   
 505 A Wachusett Regional     MA 2  CenWest ( 5-13, 76.6)     4-11   
 507 A West Springfield, MA   MA 2  CenWest ( 5-13, 65.2)    13- 5   
 509 A East Longmeadow        MA 3  CenWest (18- 2, 82.9)     6-11   
 511 H Northampton            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2)     5-14   
 514 H Amherst-Pelham Reg     MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 73.9)     7- 6   
 516 A Chicopee Comprehensive MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 71.7)    10- 5   
 518 H West Springfield, MA   MA 2  CenWest ( 5-13, 65.2)    15- 6   
 521 A Chicopee               MA 2  CenWest ( 2-16, 58.0)    18- 6   
 523 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2  CenWest (11- 8, 81.5)     4-11   
 525 A Wahconah               MA 3  CenWest (15- 5, 77.9)     2-10   
 529 H South Hadley           MA 3  CenWest (10-10, 76.8)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Westfield, MA           5-16     -11   -15           0.00
   410 H Chicopee               10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00
   412 H Chicopee Comprehensive  4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.86
   417 H East Longmeadow         7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   424 H Minnechaug Regional     4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
   426 A Amherst-Pelham Reg      4- 8      -4    -3          -0.35
   504 A Pope Francis            8- 9      -1    -2           1.94
   505 A Wachusett Regional      4-11      -7    -6          -0.64
   507 A West Springfield, MA   13- 5       8     5    +      2.87
   509 A East Longmeadow         6-11      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   511 H Northampton             5-14      -9    -7          -1.43
   514 H Amherst-Pelham Reg      7- 6       1    -2    +      3.35
   516 A Chicopee Comprehensive 10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.43
   518 H West Springfield, MA   15- 6       9     6    +      2.58
   521 A Chicopee               18- 6      12    12           0.00
   523 A Tantasqua Regional      4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   525 A Wahconah                2-10      -8    -7          -0.36
   529 H South Hadley            7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Chicopee               10- 2       8    13    -     -2.00
   412 H Chicopee Comprehensive  4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.86
   529 H South Hadley            7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Chicopee Comprehensive 10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.43
   509 A East Longmeadow         6-11      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   417 H East Longmeadow         7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   424 H Minnechaug Regional     4-12      -8   -14    +      2.00
   507 A West Springfield, MA   13- 5       8     5    +      2.87
   514 H Amherst-Pelham Reg      7- 6       1    -2    +      3.35
   518 H West Springfield, MA   15- 6       9     6    +      2.58
   523 A Tantasqua Regional      4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.94 Local Power Rank...........   152
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.10 Local SOS Rank.............   150
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   152
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   165
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
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