Conf =  Dual County               Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Pat Ammendolia        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9243927    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Woburn Memorial        MA 1  North   ( 9-10, 79.0)    13- 5   
 409 H Melrose                MA 2  North   (18- 2, 95.6)     6-12   
 412 A Westwood, MA           MA 2  CenEast (16- 5, 92.6)     8- 9  o
 414 A Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (14- 6, 89.0)    11-10  o
 417 H Marshfield             MA 1  South   ( 9- 9, 85.5)    13- 5   
 419 H Brookline              MA 1  South   ( 3-15, 72.5)    15- 2   
 421 H Wakefield, MA          MA 2  North   (11- 8, 86.2)    13- 9   
 423 A Newton South           MA 1  South   ( 9- 8, 79.8)    12- 5   
 424 H Exeter HS              NH 1          (15- 5, 91.8)     6-12   
 427 H Weston, MA             MA 3  CenEast ( 9- 9, 79.2)    12- 6   
 501 A Waltham                MA 1  North   ( 9- 9, 81.7)    13- 4   
 503 A Wayland                MA 2  CenEast (17- 3, 92.9)    11- 5   
 504 H Bedford, NH            NH 1          (12- 7, 88.9)     9- 8  o
 508 H Lincoln-Sudbury Reg    MA 1  North   (11- 7, 94.1)     6-10   
 518 A Concord-Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (18- 6, 91.5)     4- 9   
 521 A Reading                MA 2  North   (16- 7, 91.3)    12- 6   
 523 H Needham                MA 1  South   (13- 7, 91.0)     9-10  o
 529 H Westford Academy       MA 1  North   (10- 8, 82.9)     7- 8   
 605 H Malden                 MA 1  North   (10- 9, 69.4)    17- 4   
 609 H St John's Prep, Danver MA 1  North   (11-10, 89.5)     9- 8   
 612 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg    MA 1  North   (11- 7, 94.1)     7- 6  o
 615 N Andover HS, MA         MA 1  North   (13-10, 87.0)     9- 4   
 623 N Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (20- 3, 99.9)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Woburn Memorial        13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   409 H Melrose                 6-12      -6    -5          -0.91
   412 A Westwood, MA            8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.41
   414 A Algonquin              11-10  o    1     0           0.85
   417 H Marshfield             13- 5       8     4    +      3.03
   419 H Brookline              15- 2      13    17           0.00
   421 H Wakefield, MA          13- 9       4     4          -0.29
   423 A Newton South           12- 5       7     9    -     -2.39
   424 H Exeter HS               6-12      -6    -1          n/a  
   427 H Weston, MA             12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   501 A Waltham                13- 4       9     7           1.49
   503 A Wayland                11- 5       6    -3    +++    9.76
   504 H Bedford, NH             9- 8  o    1     1          n/a  
   508 H Lincoln-Sudbury Reg     6-10      -4    -3          -0.38
   518 A Concord-Carlisle        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.71
   521 A Reading                12- 6       6    -2    +++    8.11
   523 H Needham                 9-10  o   -1     0          -0.46
   529 H Westford Academy        7- 8      -1     7    ---   -8.57
   605 H Malden                 17- 4      13    21           0.00
   609 H St John's Prep, Danver  9- 8       1     0           0.02
   612 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg     7- 6  o    1    -4    ++     5.92
   615 N Andover HS, MA          9- 4       5     2    +      2.21
   623 N Boston College HS       3-16     -13   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 H Westford Academy        7- 8      -1     7    ---   -8.57
   424 H Exeter HS               6-12      -6    -1    --         
   427 H Weston, MA             12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   402 A Woburn Memorial        13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   423 A Newton South           12- 5       7     9    -     -2.39
   518 A Concord-Carlisle        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Wayland                11- 5       6    -3    +++    9.76
   521 A Reading                12- 6       6    -2    +++    8.11
   612 A Lincoln-Sudbury Reg     7- 6  o    1    -4    ++     5.92
   412 A Westwood, MA            8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.41
   417 H Marshfield             13- 5       8     4    +      3.03
   615 N Andover HS, MA          9- 4       5     2    +      2.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.82 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.92 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/