boys probababilites for 85
 
 

2017 boys Virginia VHSL 4A/5A/6A

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Atlee 16 3 6 7 7 2 3 2 7 2.00 2 Riverside 20 0 2 31 2 3 7 3 13 2.00 3 Stone Bridge 15 4 5 8 5 8 4 8 20 8.00 4 South County 18 6 11 14 10 15 2 7 24 4.00 5 Robinson 15 3 3 1 4 4 19 4 27 36.00 6 Patrick Henry Ro 20 1 1 21 1 1 26 1 28 13.00 7 Dominion 14 5 15 12 15 12 1 16 29 1.00 8 Douglas Freeman 12 5 17 16 18 7 5 17 29 0.10 9 Oakton 16 5 12 6 6 5 13 11 29 1.00 10 Woodson 18 6 8 10 9 6 10 13 29 5.00 11 Patriot 19 2 10 35 8 10 23 6 39 2.00 12 James River 12 5 28 57 22 13 6 21 40 0.10 13 Briar Woods 16 3 4 13 3 9 38 5 52 11.00 14 Colonial Forge 17 2 16 70 14 16 24 12 52 1.00 15 Westfield 12 6 14 3 12 14 25 14 53 5.00 16 Loudoun County 12 6 21 24 21 23 9 23 55 0.10 17 Freedom-South Ri 14 5 13 40 19 22 16 19 57 2.00 18 Salem 13 5 23 77 28 26 14 25 65 0.10 19 E.C. Glass 18 3 9 47 11 11 57 9 77 2.00 20 Broad Run 8 7 19 9 31 25 18 35 78 0.10 21 Brentsville 10 5 30 37 33 21 27 31 79 0.10 22 South Lakes 13 2 7 38 13 19 45 15 79 3.00 23 John Champe 9 6 27 22 27 29 17 40 86 0.10 24 West Springfield 9 6 20 25 26 30 31 26 87 0.10 25 Mills Godwin 8 7 31 42 39 37 20 32 89 0.10 26 Battlefield 9 7 25 18 32 20 36 34 90 0.10 27 Langley 11 7 24 19 24 31 22 38 91 0.10 28 Madison 10 7 22 20 36 33 21 37 91 1.00 29 Riverbend 13 4 32 81 25 34 35 24 93 0.10 30 Western Albemarl 10 8 33 44 53 36 15 46 97 0.10 31 Thomas Dale 12 5 48 97 38 41 30 28 99 0.10 32 Jefferson Forest 10 6 41 49 20 24 56 22 102 0.10 33 Midlothian 15 4 18 68 16 17 87 10 114 0.10 34 Chantilly 7 11 38 2 42 32 40 43 115 1.00 35 Deep Run 6 5 39 30 29 28 67 20 115 0.10 36 Herndon 6 6 35 17 34 40 42 33 115 0.10 37 Albemarle 12 6 26 26 17 18 80 18 116 0.10 38 Osbourn Park 9 5 43 56 35 38 50 30 118 0.10 39 Yorktown 5 12 44 4 60 44 8 67 119 0.10 40 Lake Braddock 6 10 37 11 46 42 28 51 121 0.10 41 Franklin County 10 6 53 80 40 45 44 41 130 0.10 42 Hanover 8 9 60 52 62 49 29 53 131 0.10 43 Loudoun Valley 5 11 54 15 67 52 11 69 132 0.10 44 North Stafford 8 7 45 41 41 27 70 42 139 0.10 45 Mountain View 8 6 46 66 52 43 47 50 140 0.10 46 Marshall 12 5 36 85 30 51 66 29 146 0.10 47 Kettle Run 9 6 34 62 45 48 55 44 147 0.10 48 Stafford 10 6 40 63 47 35 68 47 150 0.10 49 Colgan 8 8 57 73 64 54 41 59 154 0.10 50 Culpeper County 7 7 58 60 54 50 51 54 155 0.10 51 Stonewall Jackso 8 7 42 27 48 39 73 45 157 0.10 52 Potomac Falls 5 9 59 33 58 60 39 64 163 0.10 53 Centreville 1 14 72 5 86 62 12 91 165 0.10 54 Woodbridge 7 8 61 76 66 55 49 62 166 0.10 55 Clover Hill 9 5 68 104 43 56 81 36 173 0.10 56 Brooke Point 5 10 62 50 83 53 37 85 175 0.10 57 Fairfax 6 7 49 46 50 57 62 56 175 0.10 58 Lee-Davis 5 8 69 64 61 64 54 58 176 0.10 59 Woodgrove 7 8 50 28 49 46 85 48 179 0.10 60 Edison 9 5 52 92 37 59 82 39 180 0.10 61 West Potomac 4 8 64 36 55 61 59 61 181 0.10 62 Fauquier 10 7 29 48 51 47 79 57 183 0.10 63 Cosby 4 10 87 82 92 70 34 82 186 0.10 64 Heritage-Leesbur 4 10 56 29 68 71 43 72 186 0.10 65 Hidden Valley 5 9 71 79 69 69 53 68 190 0.10 66 Liberty Christia 5 9 76 53 63 58 69 63 190 0.10 67 Charlottesville 10 7 55 94 59 68 74 52 194 0.10 68 Massaponax 4 10 66 55 88 63 46 87 196 0.10 69 Cave Spring 5 12 83 72 93 75 32 90 197 0.10 70 T.C. Williams 6 8 51 61 44 66 84 49 199 0.10 71 Rock Ridge 4 12 65 39 94 74 33 94 201 0.10 72 McLean 4 8 47 32 56 65 77 60 202 0.10 73 Hylton 4 10 81 67 85 72 52 79 203 0.10 74 Forest Park 4 10 67 71 80 77 58 83 218 0.10 75 Eastern View 3 10 73 59 76 73 72 74 219 0.10 76 Washington-Lee 5 10 70 58 74 76 64 80 220 0.10 77 Rockbridge Count 5 10 80 65 70 67 86 70 223 0.10 78 Mount Vernon 3 9 78 51 72 78 76 73 227 0.10 79 Patrick Henry As 7 7 63 98 57 85 89 55 229 0.10 80 Osbourn 3 9 82 75 79 79 78 75 232 0.10 81 Annandale 2 10 90 54 75 81 75 77 233 0.10 82 Courtland 1 5 88 88 23 104 105 27 236 0.10 83 Monticello 5 10 79 83 89 80 71 86 237 0.10 84 Monacan 2 13 96 90 104 90 48 103 241 0.10 85 Hayfield 1 11 89 34 84 86 61 95 242 0.10 86 Tuscarora 3 12 75 43 96 82 65 98 245 0.10 87 Glen Allen 2 8 85 69 73 89 91 66 246 0.10 88 Powhatan 3 11 86 86 98 87 63 96 246 0.10 89 Thos Jefferson 6 7 74 103 65 91 97 65 253 0.10 90 Manchester 2 12 99 93 102 92 60 102 254 0.10 91 William Fleming 2 12 101 74 81 88 92 81 261 0.10 92 Falls Church 4 9 84 96 77 94 93 78 265 0.10 93 George Mason 4 11 77 45 87 83 94 89 266 0.10 94 Liberty-Bealeton 5 9 91 84 71 93 104 71 268 0.10 95 Potomac-Dumfries 3 11 92 89 95 95 83 93 271 0.10 96 Park View 1 14 98 23 90 84 98 92 274 0.10 97 Hermitage 0 8 102 99 78 100 99 76 275 0.10 98 J.E.B. Stuart 3 9 94 102 82 98 101 84 283 0.10 99 William Byrd 0 13 103 78 101 97 90 101 288 0.10 100 Robert E Lee 1 11 97 87 97 99 95 97 291 0.10 101 James Monroe 3 12 93 91 100 96 96 100 292 0.10 102 Gar-field 1 13 104 101 103 102 88 104 294 0.10 103 Wakefield HS 0 11 105 100 91 105 103 88 296 0.10 104 Freedom-Woodbrid 2 11 95 105 99 101 100 99 300 0.10 105 Fluvanna County 0 15 100 95 105 103 102 105 310 0.10
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