boys probababilites for 32
2017 boys Maryland MPSSAA 4321
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Severna Park 20 0 1 3 1 1 5 1 7 55.00
2 Hereford 15 4 6 10 5 4 11 4 19 3.00
3 Broadneck 13 4 9 1 6 6 9 6 21 1.00
4 South River 13 5 13 5 13 9 2 16 27 0.10
5 Northern/Calv Ct 18 2 3 35 2 5 21 3 29 6.00
6 Quince Orchard 16 2 18 61 12 14 12 8 34 0.10
7 Churchill 18 2 4 9 4 2 31 2 35 6.00
8 Glenelg HS 13 7 11 2 14 10 1 24 35 0.10
9 Linganore 17 1 7 56 7 11 17 7 35 1.00
10 Kent Island 13 4 5 18 9 12 14 11 37 1.00
11 CM Wright 13 4 10 13 17 8 20 15 43 0.10
12 Westminster 16 2 2 12 3 3 35 5 43 25.00
13 Fallston 14 4 8 8 11 7 30 9 46 0.10
14 Howard 11 6 12 11 24 21 6 25 52 2.00
15 Southern AA 13 5 16 24 10 15 27 10 52 0.10
16 Whitman 12 5 23 31 40 13 15 30 58 0.10
17 Middletown 12 5 19 44 28 24 7 29 60 0.10
18 Wootton 9 7 26 19 52 16 3 41 60 0.10
19 Damascus 13 5 37 63 30 31 8 23 62 0.10
20 South Carroll 14 6 33 43 38 19 10 40 69 0.10
21 Urbana 11 6 24 32 44 26 4 39 69 0.10
22 Centennial 13 3 17 41 8 25 36 12 73 0.10
23 La Plata 11 5 39 74 32 37 16 37 90 0.10
24 Marriotts Ridge 11 6 15 7 34 18 34 42 94 0.10
25 North Harford 8 7 43 22 65 28 13 53 94 0.10
26 Patterson Mill 11 7 32 29 43 20 32 46 98 0.10
27 NorthEast AA 11 7 21 30 37 38 25 36 99 0.10
28 Towson 11 3 14 28 16 17 81 13 111 0.10
29 Dulaney 8 9 46 6 47 27 48 45 120 0.10
30 Walter Johnson 8 7 40 36 93 34 19 67 120 0.10
31 Annapolis 8 8 35 14 26 29 69 27 125 0.10
32 Huntingtown 13 4 25 73 20 30 80 19 129 0.10
33 Calvert 10 6 65 84 54 47 26 57 130 0.10
34 Bowie 13 3 88 152 29 49 52 31 132 0.10
35 City-Baltimore 12 2 98 137 19 41 72 21 134 0.10
36 Mount Hebron 7 9 29 4 56 33 24 77 134 0.10
37 Blair 11 6 64 89 67 55 29 56 140 0.10
38 Largo 11 3 122 161 33 43 63 34 140 0.10
39 Gwynn Park 8 3 111 139 31 23 87 33 143 0.10
40 Poolesville 9 5 59 88 59 48 42 54 144 0.10
41 NorthWest 12 4 52 102 35 52 61 32 145 0.10
42 Old Mill 7 8 44 26 72 57 18 70 145 0.10
43 Parkville 12 1 68 129 15 39 94 14 147 0.10
44 Manchester Valle 7 8 42 16 64 42 50 59 151 0.10
45 Bel Air 11 6 22 23 22 22 113 17 152 0.10
46 Century 10 7 36 58 73 59 28 72 159 0.10
47 Merganthaler-Mer 9 2 107 147 27 36 100 28 164 0.10
48 Queen Annes Coun 11 5 20 37 39 32 97 38 167 0.10
49 Arundel 7 9 34 15 45 40 84 55 179 0.10
50 Havre De Grace 7 7 49 48 85 53 55 76 184 0.10
51 Rockville 9 6 62 103 87 60 40 85 185 0.10
52 Cambridge SD 10 4 30 47 46 46 89 51 186 0.10
53 Eleanor Roosevel 11 2 90 159 23 50 115 22 187 0.10
54 Atholton 9 8 57 52 79 51 37 101 189 0.10
55 Leonardtown 7 7 70 69 86 61 39 93 193 0.10
56 Oxon Hill 10 1 99 146 18 35 144 18 197 0.10
57 Eastern Tech 6 8 61 55 82 58 62 80 200 0.10
58 Douglass 8 4 110 149 55 65 83 58 206 0.10
59 Oakdale 7 7 48 54 83 70 54 83 207 0.10
60 Chopticon 8 8 56 65 80 72 59 78 209 0.10
61 Kenwood 7 5 104 119 74 67 68 74 209 0.10
62 Chesapeake-BC 10 3 103 140 36 68 107 35 210 0.10
63 Gov. Thomas John 8 6 66 67 69 78 60 73 211 0.10
64 Magruder 9 8 74 81 107 77 33 103 213 0.10
65 Parkside 8 6 38 33 58 45 105 64 214 0.10
66 Perry Hall 8 8 54 40 92 44 82 88 214 0.10
67 Dunbar 9 5 125 148 68 71 79 66 216 0.10
68 Overlea 8 3 105 142 42 54 119 44 217 0.10
69 Perryville 11 5 47 76 51 63 110 50 223 0.10
70 Richard Montgome 7 8 73 71 102 87 44 94 225 0.10
71 Sherwood 7 7 50 45 103 64 74 90 228 0.10
72 Tuscarora 7 8 72 57 95 76 56 100 232 0.10
73 Liberty 8 11 63 66 126 85 23 126 234 0.10
74 North Point 7 8 97 100 101 92 43 104 239 0.10
75 Bethesda/Chevy C 7 7 45 64 75 75 104 63 242 0.10
76 Great Mills 6 9 101 95 113 99 38 109 246 0.10
77 Green Street Aca 1 3 146 123 48 112 88 47 247 0.10
78 Crossland 7 6 144 155 91 86 70 92 248 0.10
79 Edmondson 4 6 137 141 96 79 73 97 249 0.10
80 Rising Sun 12 2 31 110 21 66 164 20 250 0.10
81 River Hill 8 8 27 39 66 69 101 81 251 0.10
82 Sparrows Point 6 9 76 75 117 90 49 112 251 0.10
83 Easton 6 7 41 20 60 74 112 68 254 0.10
84 NorthWestern 6 3 117 144 50 73 133 49 255 0.10
85 Chesapeake-AA 2 13 85 17 137 100 22 139 261 0.10
86 Loch Raven 10 4 78 125 53 62 147 52 261 0.10
87 Stephen Decatur 6 8 51 21 78 80 96 86 262 0.10
88 JM Bennett 9 5 28 42 63 56 143 65 264 0.10
89 Walkersville 5 9 81 60 125 93 53 121 267 0.10
90 Catonsville 6 9 55 27 108 83 78 115 276 0.10
91 Einstein 8 5 79 111 71 89 121 69 279 0.10
92 Patuxent 4 10 118 80 132 107 41 131 279 0.10
93 Winters Mill 6 9 58 38 99 84 99 96 279 0.10
94 New Town 8 4 112 130 57 88 132 60 280 0.10
95 North Hagerstown 8 5 71 79 49 81 155 48 284 0.10
96 Northwood 10 7 69 115 94 98 93 95 286 0.10
97 Harford Tech 4 11 77 46 151 102 46 145 293 0.10
98 Lansdowne 4 9 123 122 124 111 58 125 294 0.10
99 Northwestern-PG 8 3 120 165 41 94 160 43 297 0.10
100 High Point 7 4 132 156 62 91 146 62 299 0.10
101 Springbrook 4 11 96 78 153 104 45 150 299 0.10
102 Wilde Lake 8 5 67 105 70 103 129 71 303 0.10
103 Central-PG 6 5 148 166 76 95 135 75 305 0.10
104 Laurel 0 7 161 126 119 125 65 119 309 0.10
105 Reservoir 4 11 82 50 133 109 47 153 309 0.10
106 Oakland Mills 9 6 60 93 77 101 126 84 311 0.10
107 Patapsco 3 9 130 118 135 119 66 134 319 0.10
108 Wise 7 5 115 132 84 96 142 82 320 0.10
109 Blake 4 11 86 83 152 118 51 152 321 0.10
110 Brunswick 3 10 89 53 128 115 77 129 321 0.10
111 Carver VoTech 3 8 156 151 123 108 90 123 321 0.10
112 Elkton 10 5 53 107 61 97 165 61 323 0.10
113 Aberdeen 6 8 100 109 114 120 91 113 324 0.10
114 Pikesville 8 8 95 104 89 82 158 89 329 0.10
115 Douglass-PG 5 5 152 167 81 106 150 79 335 0.10
116 Franklin 2 13 80 25 142 122 75 140 337 0.10
117 Surrattsville 0 9 167 150 150 124 64 151 339 0.10
118 BDJ/Civitas 8 7 139 163 100 110 128 102 340 0.10
119 C.H. Flowers 4 7 149 138 106 113 123 107 343 0.10
120 Glen Burnie 5 10 113 86 130 128 76 141 345 0.10
121 Catoctin 4 9 84 70 111 116 118 114 348 0.10
122 Carver A&T 4 8 140 131 121 123 106 120 349 0.10
123 Poly-Baltimore 5 8 133 127 104 105 139 105 349 0.10
124 Francis Scott Ke 3 10 91 34 112 114 134 108 356 0.10
125 Watkins Mill 2 12 128 85 164 141 57 160 358 0.10
126 Wicomico 5 8 93 49 120 121 117 122 360 0.10
127 Dundalk 3 9 136 120 138 127 98 136 361 0.10
128 Wheaton 3 10 121 92 144 132 86 143 361 0.10
129 Gaithersburg 4 9 109 99 134 131 109 124 364 0.10
130 Bladensburg 0 7 168 136 118 146 108 118 372 0.10
131 Randallstown 5 7 131 143 105 129 141 106 376 0.10
132 Clarksburg 3 11 114 72 158 126 95 156 377 0.10
133 MJ McDonough 8 7 102 116 98 117 163 99 379 0.10
134 North County 5 9 75 77 122 130 125 127 382 0.10
135 Frederick 0 13 138 59 167 150 67 166 383 0.10
136 Kent County 1 12 116 51 161 151 71 162 384 0.10
137 Paint Branch 5 10 92 106 149 134 102 149 385 0.10
138 Parkdale 1 7 165 134 116 142 127 117 386 0.10
139 Boonsboro 7 9 83 87 90 133 166 91 390 0.10
140 DuVal 1 8 166 135 129 139 122 130 391 0.10
141 Lake Clifton 4 6 155 162 97 135 161 98 394 0.10
142 Lackey 3 10 134 112 143 145 114 142 401 0.10
143 Potomac 2 8 158 153 127 137 136 128 401 0.10
144 Fairmont Heights 1 7 159 164 115 148 145 116 409 0.10
145 Seneca Valley 1 12 142 94 166 154 92 163 409 0.10
146 Milford Mill 3 7 153 145 109 143 157 110 410 0.10
147 Meade 0 13 135 68 165 161 85 167 413 0.10
148 Digital Harbor 3 5 151 168 88 159 168 87 414 0.10
149 Patterson 3 7 157 160 110 144 159 111 414 0.10
150 Owings Mills 2 12 147 121 163 149 103 165 417 0.10
151 Hammond 4 9 108 96 131 147 140 132 419 0.10
152 North East Cecil 4 9 106 91 140 140 151 133 424 0.10
153 Joppatowne 3 10 129 97 139 136 153 137 426 0.10
154 Natl Academy Fou 1 10 160 154 155 152 124 155 431 0.10
155 Long Reach 1 11 127 82 159 157 120 159 436 0.10
156 Westlake 4 9 124 124 136 153 148 135 436 0.10
157 Kennedy 2 12 141 114 162 158 116 164 438 0.10
158 Friendly 1 10 163 158 154 155 131 154 440 0.10
159 North Caroline 4 10 87 62 146 138 154 148 440 0.10
160 Edgewood 0 13 143 98 169 166 111 169 446 0.10
161 Smithsburg 4 9 94 101 141 156 156 138 450 0.10
162 Western STES 1 9 145 128 148 160 149 147 456 0.10
163 South Hagerstown 1 11 119 90 157 163 138 158 459 0.10
164 Reginald Lewis 1 9 164 157 147 162 152 146 460 0.10
165 Woodlawn 0 11 162 133 160 165 137 161 463 0.10
166 St Charles 1 13 154 117 168 167 130 168 465 0.10
167 Bohemia Manor 3 10 126 113 145 168 167 144 479 0.10
168 Thomas Stone 1 13 150 108 156 164 162 157 483 0.10
169 Intl-Langley Par 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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