boys probababilites for 11
2017 boys Connecticut CIAC
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Somers NWCIAC 20 1 7 53 9 5 7 7 19 0.10
2 Wilton FCIAC 15 6 6 2 4 7 21 4 32 5.00
3 North Haven SCIAC 15 4 14 32 12 9 16 10 35 0.10
4 Xavier SCIAC 12 8 16 15 16 11 9 15 35 0.10
5 Fairfield Prep SCIAC 15 5 5 6 3 2 31 3 36 3.00
6 Glastonbury CCIAC 17 4 3 8 2 3 34 2 39 9.00
7 Waterford ECIAC 19 3 31 67 13 17 11 12 40 0.10
8 Daniel Hand-Madi SCIAC 14 8 15 19 17 10 18 17 45 0.10
9 Ellington NWCIAC 14 6 37 48 23 23 3 20 46 0.10
10 East Catholic CCIAC 12 8 25 36 35 20 1 27 48 0.10
11 Guilford SCIAC 9 9 22 17 26 22 4 23 49 0.10
12 Notre Dame-West SCIAC 12 7 20 28 21 21 10 19 50 0.10
13 New Fairfield SWCIAC 18 3 8 18 6 4 42 6 52 0.10
14 East Lyme ECIAC 11 8 30 38 36 25 6 26 57 0.10
15 Conard-West Hart CCIAC 9 9 28 22 32 27 2 31 60 0.10
16 Cheshire HS SCIAC 17 6 10 11 10 8 47 8 63 0.10
17 Simsbury CCIAC 11 9 17 9 15 16 32 16 64 0.10
18 Newtown SWCIAC 11 9 18 12 20 19 27 21 67 0.10
19 Darien FCIAC 23 0 1 4 1 1 67 1 69 70.00
20 Trumbull FCIAC 11 7 21 24 22 29 15 30 74 0.10
21 Granby Memorial NWCIAC 11 8 36 44 45 28 12 36 76 0.10
22 South Windsor CCIAC 18 1 13 54 11 18 49 9 76 0.10
23 Weston SWCIAC 15 5 12 26 14 15 54 14 83 0.10
24 Fairfield-Ludlow FCIAC 8 10 23 10 33 39 5 40 84 0.10
25 Valley Regional Shore 15 5 38 69 25 24 35 25 84 0.10
26 Masuk-Monroe SWCIAC 13 7 27 39 28 26 28 32 86 0.10
27 New Canaan FCIAC 15 6 2 5 5 6 76 5 87 8.00
28 Avon HS CCIAC 8 10 42 34 50 33 13 47 93 0.10
29 Greenwich HS FCIAC 13 7 9 1 8 12 71 13 96 1.00
30 Ridgefield FCIAC 16 5 4 3 7 13 74 11 98 2.00
31 Joel Barlow SWCIAC 11 9 19 13 19 14 69 18 101 0.10
32 Brien McMahon-No FCIAC 8 10 34 20 40 48 8 48 104 0.10
33 Shelton SCIAC 10 8 40 41 42 34 29 41 104 0.10
34 Brookfield SWCIAC 10 9 33 40 46 38 26 42 106 0.10
35 Bacon Academy ECIAC 12 6 47 73 37 36 40 34 110 0.10
36 Hall-West Hartfo CCIAC 6 10 43 35 55 42 19 54 115 0.10
37 Foran SCIAC 12 5 35 58 24 32 60 24 116 0.10
38 Morgan-Clinton Shore 8 10 51 57 65 41 14 64 119 0.10
39 Amity Regional SCIAC 5 11 44 30 57 46 17 57 120 0.10
40 Pomperaug SWCIAC 14 6 26 50 31 37 55 29 121 0.10
41 Rocky Hill CCIAC 11 9 56 68 53 51 22 50 123 0.10
42 New Milford SWCIAC 11 9 29 31 44 30 51 43 124 0.10
43 Immaculate Danbu SWCIAC 10 10 53 46 54 47 23 55 125 0.10
44 Haddam-Killingwo Shore 14 5 39 75 27 35 65 28 128 0.10
45 Farmington CCIAC 8 10 50 42 56 49 30 52 131 0.10
46 Staples-Westport FCIAC 10 8 11 7 18 31 83 22 136 2.00
47 St Joseph-Trumbu FCIAC 6 10 32 16 41 50 39 49 138 0.10
48 Lewis Mills-Burl WCLC 14 7 48 79 38 44 63 37 144 0.10
49 Hamden SCIAC 6 10 59 45 64 53 36 58 147 0.10
50 Norwalk FCIAC 6 10 46 25 49 58 33 56 147 0.10
51 Branford SCIAC 11 6 41 60 29 43 70 35 148 0.10
52 Old Lyme Shore 6 11 69 56 76 54 25 73 152 0.10
53 Suffield HS NWCIAC 5 10 74 49 69 55 37 65 157 0.10
54 RHAM CCIAC 8 9 57 59 58 56 45 59 160 0.10
55 Stamford FCIAC 4 12 54 23 62 66 20 75 161 0.10
56 Berlin CCIAC 13 6 45 77 34 52 77 33 162 0.10
57 Fitch-Groton ECIAC 8 10 68 66 70 57 38 68 163 0.10
58 Fairfield-Warde FCIAC 8 9 24 21 30 45 88 38 171 0.10
59 Southington CCIAC 2 14 58 27 84 65 24 84 173 0.10
60 Canton NWCIAC 6 10 81 64 63 64 50 61 175 0.10
61 Stonington ECIAC 12 7 49 71 47 40 93 44 177 0.10
62 Saint Bernard/Wh ECIAC 10 7 62 88 48 59 73 46 178 0.10
63 Bunnell-Stratfor SWCIAC 5 12 73 43 78 63 41 78 182 0.10
64 Lyman Hall SCIAC 7 10 75 62 61 62 57 63 182 0.10
65 Stratford SWCIAC 8 10 52 52 68 70 46 67 183 0.10
66 North Branford Shore 6 10 72 61 73 60 56 71 187 0.10
67 Sheehan SCIAC 8 10 70 72 59 68 59 60 187 0.10
68 Bethel SWCIAC 4 12 61 37 77 71 43 77 191 0.10
69 Watertown WCLC 10 8 60 84 51 61 79 51 191 0.10
70 Newington CCIAC 8 10 66 65 67 72 58 62 192 0.10
71 Norwich Free Aca ECIAC 5 11 65 47 75 69 53 72 194 0.10
72 Montville ECIAC 6 10 80 83 72 75 62 70 207 0.10
73 Northwest Cathol CCIAC 5 11 63 51 81 67 61 80 208 0.10
74 Old Saybrook Shore 8 10 71 81 66 76 66 66 208 0.10
75 West Haven SCIAC 9 8 64 76 52 73 82 53 208 0.10
76 Notre Dame-Fairf SWCIAC 3 13 78 55 89 77 52 87 216 0.10
77 Woodstock Academ ECIAC 3 13 82 74 94 80 48 88 216 0.10
78 St Paul Catholic WCLC 8 10 76 87 71 74 75 69 218 0.10
79 Danbury FCIAC 1 15 67 29 88 81 44 94 219 0.10
80 Wolcott WCLC 8 6 79 96 43 83 94 45 222 0.10
81 Norwich/Windham Indep 7 5 84 97 39 89 97 39 225 0.10
82 Tolland CCIAC 4 13 86 63 87 78 64 85 227 0.10
83 Jonathan Law SCIAC 5 11 85 80 80 82 81 81 244 0.10
84 Westhill FCIAC 4 11 55 33 60 79 92 76 247 0.10
85 Ledyard ECIAC 3 13 83 78 92 85 72 91 248 0.10
86 Trinity Catholic FCIAC 0 16 77 14 85 87 68 93 248 0.10
87 Rockville/Staffo CCIAC 5 12 88 89 83 84 85 83 252 0.10
88 Bristol Central CCIAC 3 13 89 82 90 88 78 89 255 0.10
89 Holy Cross WCLC 7 11 87 95 79 86 90 79 255 0.10
90 Cromwell Shore 1 15 92 70 95 90 80 95 265 0.10
91 Amistad/Career WCLC 0 9 97 94 74 96 96 74 266 0.10
92 Bristol Eastern CCIAC 3 13 90 90 91 91 87 90 268 0.10
93 Wamogo WCLC 2 12 94 92 86 95 91 86 272 0.10
94 Windsor CCIAC 3 13 91 91 93 92 89 92 273 0.10
95 Vinal Tech CCIAC 1 11 95 93 82 97 95 82 274 0.10
96 Griswold ECIAC 0 15 96 85 97 93 86 96 275 0.10
97 Wilbur Cross SCIAC 1 15 93 86 96 94 84 97 275 0.10
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