Region = VA 6A Liberty          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Greg Beer             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3552475    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Langley                VA 6A Liberty (11- 7, 86.9)     5- 8   
 321 A Westfield              VA 6A Concord (12- 6, 92.5)     7-10   
 322 H Chantilly              VA 6A Concord ( 7-11, 84.4)     4- 8   
 325 N Dominion               VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.1)     9-13   
 328 H South Lakes            VA 6A Liberty (13- 2, 94.8)     5- 8   
 330 A Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 1-11, 69.7)    17- 7   
 404 A Madison                VA 6A Liberty (10- 7, 87.6)     2- 9   
 406 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A Liberty ( 5-10, 75.1)    11- 4   
 408 A Robinson               VA 6A Concord (15- 3, 97.7)     1- 7   
 418 A Briar Woods            VA 5A No-Loud (16- 3, 97.6)     6-14   
 420 A Oakton                 VA 6A Concord (16- 5, 93.1)     9-13   
 425 H McLean                 VA 6A Liberty ( 4- 8, 82.6)    10- 9   
 428 A Fairfax                VA 6A Liberty ( 6- 7, 82.3)    11- 9   
 502 H South County           VA 6A Patriot (18- 6, 93.8)     4-13   
 504 H Fairfax                VA 6A Liberty ( 6- 7, 82.3)     8- 4   
 510 N South Lakes            VA 6A Liberty (13- 2, 94.8)     8-14   
 516 A Robinson               VA 6A Concord (15- 3, 97.7)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Langley                 5- 8      -3    -4           1.82
   321 A Westfield               7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   322 H Chantilly               4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.63
   325 N Dominion                9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.06
   328 H South Lakes             5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   330 A Hayfield               17- 7      10    12           0.00
   404 A Madison                 2- 9      -7    -5          -1.44
   406 H Washington-Lee         11- 4       7     8          -1.91
   408 A Robinson                1- 7      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   418 A Briar Woods             6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
   420 A Oakton                  9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   425 H McLean                 10- 9       1     1          -0.39
   428 A Fairfax                11- 9       2     0    +      2.17
   502 H South County            4-13      -9    -9           0.78
   504 H Fairfax                 8- 4       4     1    +      2.27
   510 N South Lakes             8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   516 A Robinson                3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Chantilly               4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Westfield               7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   328 H South Lakes             5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   420 A Oakton                  9-13      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   325 N Dominion                9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.06
   408 A Robinson                1- 7      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   510 N South Lakes             8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   418 A Briar Woods             6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
   428 A Fairfax                11- 9       2     0    +      2.17
   504 H Fairfax                 8- 4       4     1    +      2.27
   516 A Robinson                3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.03 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.82 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/