Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6486053    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 6-10, 64.2)    18- 3   
 407 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 9- 9, 74.6)    15- 5   
 410 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          (12- 7, 78.6)     9-10  o
 417 A North Haven            CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)    10- 9   
 419 A Foran                  CT M          (12- 5, 71.9)    18- 2   
 422 H New Fairfield          CT M          (18- 3, 85.7)     9-15   
 424 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (14- 8, 80.4)    11- 6   
 427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          ( 8-10, 76.9)     5- 3   
 428 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 5-11, 62.8)    20- 3   
 501 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (15- 5, 88.1)     6-17   
 503 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 5-11, 69.2)     7- 6   
 508 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (17- 6, 84.3)    13-14   
 512 H Simsbury               CT L          (11- 9, 80.4)    15-14  o
 515 H Guilford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.2)    13-14   
 517 A East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 73.6)    12- 6   
 519 A Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   ( 9-11, 83.6)    11-12  o
 520 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (14- 8, 80.4)     9- 5   
 523 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (15- 5, 88.1)     5-10   
 526 H Hall-West Hartford     CT L          ( 6-10, 69.5)    12- 4   
 531 A Wilton                 CT L          (15- 6, 87.5)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Hamden                 18- 3      15    16           0.00
   407 A Conard-West Hartford   15- 5      10     5    ++     4.83
   410 H Notre Dame-West Haven   9-10  o   -1     2    -     -3.45
   417 A North Haven            10- 9       1     0           1.87
   419 A Foran                  18- 2      16     7    +      2.17
   422 H New Fairfield           9-15      -6    -4          -1.32
   424 H Daniel Hand-Madison    11- 6       5     0    ++     4.40
   427 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       5- 3       2     2          -0.91
   428 H Norwich Free Academy   20- 3      17    18           0.00
   501 A Fairfield Prep          6-17     -11    -8          -1.64
   503 H Amity Regional          7- 6       1    11    ---   -9.00
   508 A Cheshire HS            13-14      -1    -4    +      3.51
   512 H Simsbury               15-14  o    1     0           0.36
   515 H Guilford               13-14      -1     2    -     -3.86
   517 A East Lyme              12- 6       6     6          -0.14
   519 A Catholic Memorial      11-12  o   -1    -3          n/a  
   520 H Daniel Hand-Madison     9- 5       4     0    +      3.40
   523 A Fairfield Prep          5-10      -5    -8    +      3.36
   526 H Hall-West Hartford     12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   531 A Wilton                  6-15      -9    -7          -1.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Amity Regional          7- 6       1    11    ---   -9.00
   410 H Notre Dame-West Haven   9-10  o   -1     2    -     -3.45
   515 H Guilford               13-14      -1     2    -     -3.86
   526 H Hall-West Hartford     12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Conard-West Hartford   15- 5      10     5    ++     4.83
   424 H Daniel Hand-Madison    11- 6       5     0    ++     4.40
   419 A Foran                  18- 2      16     7    +      2.17
   508 A Cheshire HS            13-14      -1    -4    +      3.51
   519 A Catholic Memorial      11-12  o   -1    -3    +          
   520 H Daniel Hand-Madison     9- 5       4     0    +      3.40
   523 A Fairfield Prep          5-10      -5    -8    +      3.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.40 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.52 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    97
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/