Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Wayne Hummer          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6292877    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 92.7)     7- 5   
 328 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-13, 77.0)     9- 7   
 330 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4)     1-10   
 401 A Red Lion               PA    York    (12- 7, 91.4)     8- 9  o
 404 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 5- 9, 82.1)    15- 7   
 407 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 69.8)    17- 2   
 408 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks-1 (14- 6, 92.3)     4- 5   
 412 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 85.8)    10- 8   
 413 H Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (22- 2, 99.9)     6-11   
 418 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb (12- 9, 87.7)     4- 8   
 420 H Danville Area          PA    CSNLL   ( 5- 9, 73.2)    19- 4   
 422 H Exeter Township        PA    Berks-1 ( 9-10, 83.8)     8- 4   
 424 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 86.3)    11- 2   
 426 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 94.3)     2-13   
 428 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 80.6)    17- 9   
 502 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 76.0)    16- 3   
 504 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 90.2)     4- 1   
 509 N Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4)     3- 8   
 516 A Red Lion               PA    York    (12- 7, 91.4)    10- 7   
 518 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Carlisle                7- 5       2    -1    +      3.56
   328 A Cedar Crest             9- 7       2    12    ---   -8.00
   330 H Manheim Township        1-10      -9    -7          -1.71
   401 A Red Lion                8- 9  o   -1    -1           0.55
   404 A Lampeter-Strasburg     15- 7       8     7           0.18
   407 H Garden Spot            17- 2      15    21           0.00
   408 H Governor Mifflin        4- 5      -1    -1           0.22
   412 A Elizabethtown          10- 8       2     4    -     -2.09
   413 H Palmyra                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.78
   418 A Cocalico                4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.17
   420 H Danville Area          19- 4      15    17           0.00
   422 H Exeter Township         8- 4       4     7    -     -3.30
   424 H Lancaster Cou Day      11- 2       9     4    ++     4.13
   426 H Hempfield               2-13     -11    -3    ---   -6.79
   428 H Ephrata                17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00
   502 A Conestoga Valley       16- 3      13    13           0.00
   504 A Penn Manor              4- 1       3     0    +      3.28
   509 N Manheim Township        3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.92
   516 A Red Lion               10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.55
   518 A Manheim Township        5-10      -5    -8    +      3.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Cedar Crest             9- 7       2    12    ---   -8.00
   418 A Cocalico                4- 8      -4     2    ---   -6.17
   426 H Hempfield               2-13     -11    -3    ---   -6.79
   412 A Elizabethtown          10- 8       2     4    -     -2.09
   422 H Exeter Township         8- 4       4     7    -     -3.30
   428 H Ephrata                17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Lancaster Cou Day      11- 2       9     4    ++     4.13
   516 A Red Lion               10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.55
   324 H Carlisle                7- 5       2    -1    +      3.56
   413 H Palmyra                 6-11      -5    -8    +      3.78
   504 A Penn Manor              4- 1       3     0    +      3.28
   509 N Manheim Township        3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.92
   518 A Manheim Township        5-10      -5    -8    +      3.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.50 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.90 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    62
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/