Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.1794281    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Center Moriches        NY C  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 67.3)    17-11   
 328 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 80.7)    11-16   
 330 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.5)     7- 9   
 405 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.6)     8-10   
 407 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 95.2)     3-13   
 410 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.1)    10- 9   
 415 A New Milford            CT L          (11- 9, 73.8)     3-10   
 419 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 72.1)     9- 7   
 421 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 81.6)     8-15   
 425 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 88.7)     7-17   
 427 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 59.2)    17- 0   
 429 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)     3-12   
 503 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 88.2)     6-16   
 505 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 75.1)     7-10   
 509 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.5)     4-16   
 511 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 65.8)    17- 2   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Center Moriches        17-11       6     8    -     -2.03
   328 A Sachem East            11-16      -5    -5           0.35
   330 A Patchogue-Medford       7- 9      -2    -2           0.17
   405 H Walt Whitman            8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.06
   407 A Smithtown West          3-13     -10   -19           0.00
   410 H North Babylon          10- 9       1     2          -1.42
   415 A New Milford             3-10      -7     1          n/a  
   419 H Longwood                9- 7       2     3          -1.39
   421 H Lindenhurst             8-15      -7    -6          -0.93
   425 A Northport               7-17     -10   -13           0.00
   427 H Copiague               17- 0      17    16           0.00
   429 H Commack                 3-12      -9   -13           1.00
   503 A Riverhead               6-16     -10   -12           0.00
   505 A Middle Country          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.23
   509 H Connetquot              4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   511 A Brentwood              17- 2      15     9           0.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A New Milford             3-10      -7     1    ---        
   324 A Center Moriches        17-11       6     8    -     -2.03
   505 A Middle Country          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Walt Whitman            8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.42 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.32 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/