Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0736389    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 98.7)     3-17   
 327 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 84.3)    11- 4   
 331 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 98.9)     2-12   
 406 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 93.6)     6-10   
 419 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 87.6)    13-12   
 421 A Grand Island           NY C  Sec 6   (18- 2, 96.7)     3- 7   
 424 A West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 92.9)     5-11   
 425 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 88.6)     4- 6   
 502 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 69.9)    17- 3   
 504 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 73.2)     7- 6   
 509 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.1)     4-14   
 511 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 78.0)    13- 2   
 512 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 94.7)     8-15   
 515 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-15, 75.7)    16- 4   
 516 H Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 85.6)     6- 9   
 518 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 86.9)    11-10   
 523 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 87.6)    10- 8   
 525 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 98.9)     1- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Orchard Park            3-17     -14   -12           0.00
   327 A Amherst Central        11- 4       7     2    ++     4.67
   331 N Hamburg                 2-12     -10   -11           0.00
   406 A Clarence                6-10      -4    -6    +      2.98
   419 A West Seneca West       13-12       1     0           1.94
   421 A Grand Island            3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   424 A West Seneca East        5-11      -6    -6           0.24
   425 H Williamsville North     4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.33
   502 A North Tonawanda        17- 3      14    16           0.00
   504 N Rush-Henrietta          7- 6       1    14          n/a  
   509 A Lancaster               4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   511 H Lockport               13- 2      11    10           0.00
   512 A Niagara Wheatfield      8-15      -7    -8           1.10
   515 H Sweet Home             16- 4      12    13           0.00
   516 H Williamsville South     6- 9      -3     3    ---   -6.34
   518 H Frontier               11-10       1     2          -1.03
   523 H West Seneca West       10- 8       2     1           0.66
   525 A Hamburg                 1- 8      -7   -12    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 N Rush-Henrietta          7- 6       1    14    ---        
   516 H Williamsville South     6- 9      -3     3    ---   -6.34
   425 H Williamsville North     4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Grand Island            3- 7      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   327 A Amherst Central        11- 4       7     2    ++     4.67
   406 A Clarence                6-10      -4    -6    +      2.98
   525 A Hamburg                 1- 8      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.76 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.84 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/