Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4783707    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-11, 81.3)     3-17   
 331 H Millburn               NJ 3  North   ( 8-11, 78.7)     4-12   
 403 A Manasquan              NJ 2  South   (21- 2, 92.6)     6-17   
 406 A Holmdel                NJ 1  South   (10- 9, 74.5)    12- 8   
 408 A Ocean Township         NJ 2  South   (12- 5, 78.4)     8- 7   
 411 A Hightstown             NJ 3  South   (11- 8, 80.9)     2- 7   
 413 H Toms River North       NJ 4  South   ( 7- 9, 73.9)    14- 6   
 417 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 4-12, 64.1)    19- 6   
 419 H Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   ( 0-10, 62.1)     1- 0   
 421 A Red Bank Regional      NJ 2  South   ( 1-17, 61.9)    14- 5   
 424 A Freehold Township      NJ 4  South   (13- 6, 84.3)     6-12   
 426 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 2  South   (21- 4, 90.6)     4-16   
 429 H Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   (11- 9, 72.8)    15- 9   
 501 H Somerville             NJ 2  South   (10-11, 82.4)    10-13   
 503 A Long Branch            NJ 3  South   ( 2-15, 52.6)    16- 0   
 506 H Jackson Memorial       NJ 3  South   ( 9- 7, 75.4)     8- 7   
 509 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   (11- 7, 76.5)    10- 6   
 511 N Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 2  South   (21- 4, 90.6)     3-16   
 515 A Marlboro               NJ 4  South   ( 6-11, 66.8)    11- 4   
 517 H Pope John XXIII        NJ    Grp-A   (12- 7, 83.1)     6- 9   
 519 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (10- 7, 85.4)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Morristown Beard        3-17     -14    -5    --    -4.49
   331 H Millburn                4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.65
   403 A Manasquan               6-17     -11   -16           0.00
   406 A Holmdel                12- 8       4     1    +      2.77
   408 A Ocean Township          8- 7       1    -2    +      3.64
   411 A Hightstown              2- 7      -5    -5           0.18
   413 H Toms River North       14- 6       8     4    +      3.52
   417 A Red Bank Catholic      19- 6      13    11           0.00
   421 A Red Bank Regional      14- 5       9    13          -1.00
   424 A Freehold Township       6-12      -6    -8    +      2.49
   426 H Rumson-Fair Haven       4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   429 H Shore Regional         15- 9       6     5           0.42
   501 H Somerville             10-13      -3    -4           1.08
   503 A Long Branch            16- 0      16    23           0.00
   506 H Jackson Memorial        8- 7       1     2          -1.92
   509 H St Rose Belmar         10- 6       4     1    +      2.20
   511 N Rumson-Fair Haven       3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   515 A Marlboro               11- 4       7     8          -1.95
   517 H Pope John XXIII         6- 9      -3    -4           1.73
   519 A Don Bosco Prep          6- 9      -3    -9    +++    6.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Millburn                4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.65
   329 A Morristown Beard        3-17     -14    -5    --    -4.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Don Bosco Prep          6- 9      -3    -9    +++    6.60
   406 A Holmdel                12- 8       4     1    +      2.77
   408 A Ocean Township          8- 7       1    -2    +      3.64
   413 H Toms River North       14- 6       8     4    +      3.52
   424 A Freehold Township       6-12      -6    -8    +      2.49
   509 H St Rose Belmar         10- 6       4     1    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.05 Local Power Rank...........    98
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.06 Local SOS Rank.............    86
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    95
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   176
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   113
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/