Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ 3  South            
   Nickname = J Raiders              Coach  =   Mike Alfieri          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.3409195    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Jackson Memorial       NJ 3  South   ( 9- 7, 75.4)     5- 6 2o
 331 A Ocean Township         NJ 2  South   (12- 5, 78.4)     5-11   
 403 H Lacey Township         NJ 2  South   (10- 6, 77.6)     5-11   
 405 H Donovan Catholic       NJ    Grp-A   ( 5- 8, 70.0)     6- 8   
 411 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   (11- 7, 76.5)     5-15   
 413 H Barnegat Township      NJ 2  South   ( 2-13, 57.4)    14- 3   
 419 A Toms River North       NJ 4  South   ( 7- 9, 73.9)     9- 8   
 421 A Jackson Liberty        NJ 3  South   ( 3-18, 64.4)    12- 5   
 424 H Middletown North       NJ 3  North   ( 4-14, 66.0)     6- 2   
 426 A Brick Memorial         NJ 3  South   (10- 8, 75.1)     6- 7   
 428 H Brick Township         NJ 3  South   ( 8-10, 72.2)    11- 8   
 501 A Middletown South       NJ 3  North   ( 9- 9, 75.3)    14-12   
 503 H Toms River South       NJ 3  South   ( 5- 9, 68.1)     9- 7   
 506 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 2  South   (21- 4, 90.6)     1-18   
 509 A Point Pleasant Boro    NJ 1  South   ( 7-11, 67.8)    11- 7   
 512 A Red Bank Regional      NJ 2  South   ( 1-17, 61.9)    14- 6   
 515 H Southern Regional      NJ 4  South   (14- 4, 85.0)     5-12   
 517 A Allentown              NJ 3  South   ( 7-10, 78.9)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Jackson Memorial        5- 6 2o   -1    -3    +      2.98
   331 A Ocean Township          5-11      -6    -6           0.96
   403 H Lacey Township          5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.47
   405 H Donovan Catholic        6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.05
   411 H St Rose Belmar          5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.48
   413 H Barnegat Township      14- 3      11    16           0.00
   419 A Toms River North        9- 8       1    -2    +      3.42
   421 A Jackson Liberty        12- 5       7     7          -0.06
   424 H Middletown North        6- 2       4     8    --    -4.03
   426 A Brick Memorial          6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.64
   428 H Brick Township         11- 8       3     1           1.16
   501 A Middletown South       14-12       2    -3    ++     5.84
   503 H Toms River South        9- 7       2     5    -     -3.96
   506 A Rumson-Fair Haven       1-18     -17   -19           0.00
   509 A Point Pleasant Boro    11- 7       4     3           0.31
   512 A Red Bank Regional      14- 6       8     9          -1.56
   515 H Southern Regional       5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
   517 A Allentown               4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Donovan Catholic        6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.05
   411 H St Rose Belmar          5-15     -10    -2    ---   -7.48
   424 H Middletown North        6- 2       4     8    --    -4.03
   403 H Lacey Township          5-11      -6    -3    -     -2.47
   503 H Toms River South        9- 7       2     5    -     -3.96
   517 A Allentown               4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Middletown South       14-12       2    -3    ++     5.84
   329 A Jackson Memorial        5- 6 2o   -1    -3    +      2.98
   419 A Toms River North        9- 8       1    -2    +      3.42
   426 A Brick Memorial          6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.64
   515 H Southern Regional       5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.73 Local Power Rank...........   130
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.55 Local SOS Rank.............   130
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   136
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   184
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   121
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/