Conf =  MidWacA                   Region = MA 2  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Nate Skermont         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4441299    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Grafton                MA 3  CenWest (22- 3, 91.6)     5-13   
 408 H St Peter Marian        MA 3  CenWest ( 4-16, 61.3)    15- 1   
 413 H Westborough            MA 2  CenWest ( 0-16, 69.4)    12- 1   
 415 A Marshfield             MA 1  South   (13- 7, 86.5)     3- 7   
 418 H Littleton              MA 3  CenEast (18- 3, 86.9)     6- 7   
 420 H Minnechaug             MA 2  West    (14- 6, 85.8)     5- 9   
 422 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2  CenWest (17- 4, 90.3)     4-17   
 425 N Wachusett              MA 2  CenWest (11- 9, 80.2)    12-11   
 427 A Groton-Dunstable       MA 3  CenEast (15- 6, 84.9)    10- 9  o
 429 H Nashoba Regional       MA 2  CenWest (10- 9, 77.0)    11- 3   
 501 H Marlborough            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 76.9)    11- 4   
 504 H Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest ( 9-11, 82.1)    11-10   
 511 A Westborough            MA 2  CenWest ( 0-16, 69.4)    13- 4   
 513 H Sharon                 MA 2  CenEast ( 7-11, 76.8)    16- 7   
 515 H Shepherd Hill          MA 2  CenWest (11-10, 76.2)    13- 5   
 516 H Leominster             MA 2  CenWest ( 4-14, 69.8)    15- 3   
 518 H Wachusett              MA 2  CenWest (11- 9, 80.2)     9- 8   
 520 A Westfield              MA 2  West    (14- 8, 84.5)     8-13   
 523 H Groton-Dunstable       MA 3  CenEast (15- 6, 84.9)     8- 7   
 524 A Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest ( 9-11, 82.1)     8-14   
 531 H Marlborough            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 76.9)    15- 4   
 603 H Tantasqua Regional     MA 2  CenWest (17- 6, 83.1)     9-10 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Grafton                 5-13      -8    -9           1.04
   408 H St Peter Marian        15- 1      14    22           0.00
   413 H Westborough            12- 1      11    14           0.00
   415 A Marshfield              3- 7      -4    -3          -0.11
   418 H Littleton               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.04
   420 H Minnechaug              5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.09
   422 A St Johns Shrewsbury     4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.26
   425 N Wachusett              12-11       1     3    -     -2.05
   427 A Groton-Dunstable       10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.31
   429 H Nashoba Regional       11- 3       8     6           1.18
   501 H Marlborough            11- 4       7     6           0.05
   504 H Algonquin              11-10       1     1          -0.80
   511 A Westborough            13- 4       9    13          -1.00
   513 H Sharon                 16- 7       9     7           1.98
   515 H Shepherd Hill          13- 5       8     7           0.33
   516 H Leominster             15- 3      12    14           0.00
   518 H Wachusett               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.69
   520 A Westfield               8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.03
   523 H Groton-Dunstable        8- 7       1    -1    +      2.03
   524 A Algonquin               8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.51
   531 H Marlborough            15- 4      11     6    +      3.05
   603 H Tantasqua Regional      9-10 2o   -1     0          -1.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 A Algonquin               8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.51
   420 H Minnechaug              5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.09
   422 A St Johns Shrewsbury     4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.26
   425 N Wachusett              12-11       1     3    -     -2.05
   518 H Wachusett               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.69
   520 A Westfield               8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Littleton               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.04
   427 A Groton-Dunstable       10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.31
   523 H Groton-Dunstable        8- 7       1    -1    +      2.03
   531 H Marlborough            15- 4      11     6    +      3.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.22 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.87 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   175
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/