Conf = MidWacA Region = MA 2 CenWest Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Nate SkermontGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.4441299 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Grafton MA 3 CenWest (22- 3, 91.6) 5-13 408 H St Peter Marian MA 3 CenWest ( 4-16, 61.3) 15- 1 413 H Westborough MA 2 CenWest ( 0-16, 69.4) 12- 1 415 A Marshfield MA 1 South (13- 7, 86.5) 3- 7 418 H Littleton MA 3 CenEast (18- 3, 86.9) 6- 7 420 H Minnechaug MA 2 West (14- 6, 85.8) 5- 9 422 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 CenWest (17- 4, 90.3) 4-17 425 N Wachusett MA 2 CenWest (11- 9, 80.2) 12-11 427 A Groton-Dunstable MA 3 CenEast (15- 6, 84.9) 10- 9 o 429 H Nashoba Regional MA 2 CenWest (10- 9, 77.0) 11- 3 501 H Marlborough MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 76.9) 11- 4 504 H Algonquin MA 2 CenWest ( 9-11, 82.1) 11-10 511 A Westborough MA 2 CenWest ( 0-16, 69.4) 13- 4 513 H Sharon MA 2 CenEast ( 7-11, 76.8) 16- 7 515 H Shepherd Hill MA 2 CenWest (11-10, 76.2) 13- 5 516 H Leominster MA 2 CenWest ( 4-14, 69.8) 15- 3 518 H Wachusett MA 2 CenWest (11- 9, 80.2) 9- 8 520 A Westfield MA 2 West (14- 8, 84.5) 8-13 523 H Groton-Dunstable MA 3 CenEast (15- 6, 84.9) 8- 7 524 A Algonquin MA 2 CenWest ( 9-11, 82.1) 8-14 531 H Marlborough MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 76.9) 15- 4 603 H Tantasqua Regional MA 2 CenWest (17- 6, 83.1) 9-10 2oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Grafton 5-13 -8 -9 1.04 408 H St Peter Marian 15- 1 14 22 0.00 413 H Westborough 12- 1 11 14 0.00 415 A Marshfield 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.11 418 H Littleton 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.04 420 H Minnechaug 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.09 422 A St Johns Shrewsbury 4-17 -13 -7 - -2.26 425 N Wachusett 12-11 1 3 - -2.05 427 A Groton-Dunstable 10- 9 o 1 -2 + 3.31 429 H Nashoba Regional 11- 3 8 6 1.18 501 H Marlborough 11- 4 7 6 0.05 504 H Algonquin 11-10 1 1 -0.80 511 A Westborough 13- 4 9 13 -1.00 513 H Sharon 16- 7 9 7 1.98 515 H Shepherd Hill 13- 5 8 7 0.33 516 H Leominster 15- 3 12 14 0.00 518 H Wachusett 9- 8 1 3 - -2.69 520 A Westfield 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.03 523 H Groton-Dunstable 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.03 524 A Algonquin 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.51 531 H Marlborough 15- 4 11 6 + 3.05 603 H Tantasqua Regional 9-10 2o -1 0 -1.72UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 524 A Algonquin 8-14 -6 0 --- -6.51 420 H Minnechaug 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.09 422 A St Johns Shrewsbury 4-17 -13 -7 - -2.26 425 N Wachusett 12-11 1 3 - -2.05 518 H Wachusett 9- 8 1 3 - -2.69 520 A Westfield 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.03OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Littleton 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.04 427 A Groton-Dunstable 10- 9 o 1 -2 + 3.31 523 H Groton-Dunstable 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.03 531 H Marlborough 15- 4 11 6 + 3.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.22 Local Power Rank........... 50 Local SOS Rating......... 57.87 Local SOS Rank............. 51 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 53 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 175 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 80 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3