Conf =  Foothills                 Region = NY D  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Andrew Smith          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.0780258    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Averill Park           NY C  Sec 2   ( 2-16, 65.9)    13- 4   
 411 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (13- 4, 90.0)     0-15   
 413 H Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 1-15, 61.6)    16- 5   
 418 A LaSalle Institute      NY B  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 79.2)     9-18   
 420 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 78.3)     6-13   
 422 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (18- 3, 91.3)     6-17   
 425 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (12- 5, 84.8)    13-14  o
 427 H South Glens Falls      NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-12, 66.0)    13- 1   
 429 H Cambridge Central      NY D  Sec 2   (13- 4, 79.4)    10-13   
 502 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (13- 4, 90.0)     5-18   
 504 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 1-15, 61.6)     9- 0   
 509 A Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 78.3)    10-11   
 511 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (12- 5, 84.8)     3-11   
 516 A South Glens Falls      NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-12, 66.0)    18- 9   
 522 H Voorheesville          NY D  Sec 2   ( 3-13, 61.9)    14- 4   
 525 A Cambridge Central      NY D  Sec 2   (13- 4, 79.4)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Averill Park           13- 4       9     8           0.52
   411 H Queensbury              0-15     -15   -15           0.00
   413 H Amsterdam              16- 5      11    12           0.00
   418 A LaSalle Institute       9-18      -9    -5    -     -3.30
   420 H Scotia-Glenville        6-13      -7    -4    -     -3.00
   422 H Palmyra-Macedon         6-17     -11   -16          n/a  
   425 H Glens Falls            13-14  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   427 H South Glens Falls      13- 1      12     8           1.70
   429 H Cambridge Central      10-13      -3    -5    +      2.07
   502 A Queensbury              5-18     -13   -16           0.00
   504 A Amsterdam               9- 0       9    11          -1.00
   509 A Scotia-Glenville       10-11      -1    -4    +      3.80
   511 A Glens Falls             3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
   516 A South Glens Falls      18- 9       9     7           1.49
   522 H Voorheesville          14- 4      10    12           0.00
   525 A Cambridge Central       7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A LaSalle Institute       9-18      -9    -5    -     -3.30
   420 H Scotia-Glenville        6-13      -7    -4    -     -3.00
   525 A Cambridge Central       7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Glens Falls            13-14  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   429 H Cambridge Central      10-13      -3    -5    +      2.07
   509 A Scotia-Glenville       10-11      -1    -4    +      3.80
   511 A Glens Falls             3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.93 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.41 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/