Conf =  Sec4                      Region = MN 1  East             
   Nickname = N Ponies               Coach  =   Tom Howe              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2199249    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 413 A Mahtomedi              MN 1  MetEast (16- 3, 92.9)     6- 8   
 419 A Breck                  MN 1  IMAC    ( 3-10, 68.8)    26- 2   
 421 A Orono                  MN 1  Indep   ( 9- 5, 86.6)     9- 8   
 425 A Cretin-Derham Hall     MN 1  East    ( 9- 5, 84.4)     7-11   
 427 H Forest Lake            MN 1  East    ( 3-12, 69.4)    15- 1   
 502 H Woodbury               MN 1  East    ( 2-12, 73.1)    16- 3   
 504 H Duluth United          MN 1  Indep   ( 6- 9, 77.4)     8- 1   
 509 H East Ridge             MN 1  East    ( 5-10, 79.3)    16- 1   
 511 A Park Cottage Grove     MN 1  East    (12- 4, 89.8)    14- 6   
 516 H Mounds View            MN 1  East    ( 6- 8, 80.6)     9- 4   
 518 A White Bear Lake        MN 1  East    (10- 5, 85.7)     6- 7   
 523 A Roseville              MN 1  East    ( 3-11, 73.4)    10- 2   
 525 H Tartan                 MN 1  MetEast (13- 3, 93.8)     5- 8   
 601 H Mounds View            MN 1  East    ( 6- 8, 80.6)     8- 6   
 603 A Mahtomedi              MN 1  MetEast (16- 3, 92.9)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Mahtomedi               6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.58
   419 A Breck                  26- 2      24    19           0.00
   421 A Orono                   9- 8       1     1          -0.66
   425 A Cretin-Derham Hall      7-11      -4     3    ---   -7.89
   427 H Forest Lake            15- 1      14    20           0.00
   502 H Woodbury               16- 3      13    17           0.00
   504 H Duluth United           8- 1       7    12    -     -3.00
   509 H East Ridge             16- 1      15    10           0.00
   511 A Park Cottage Grove     14- 6       8    -1    +++    9.47
   516 H Mounds View             9- 4       5     9    --    -4.61
   518 A White Bear Lake         6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.58
   523 A Roseville              10- 2       8    14    -     -2.00
   525 H Tartan                  5- 8      -3    -3           0.54
   601 H Mounds View             8- 6       2     9    ---   -7.61
   603 A Mahtomedi               8-10      -2    -4    +      2.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Cretin-Derham Hall      7-11      -4     3    ---   -7.89
   601 H Mounds View             8- 6       2     9    ---   -7.61
   516 H Mounds View             9- 4       5     9    --    -4.61
   504 H Duluth United           8- 1       7    12    -     -3.00
   518 A White Bear Lake         6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.58
   523 A Roseville              10- 2       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Park Cottage Grove     14- 6       8    -1    +++    9.47
   413 A Mahtomedi               6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.58
   603 A Mahtomedi               8-10      -2    -4    +      2.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.27 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.85 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/