Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dean Patty            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.2736206    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 73.6)     4-16   
 408 A Westerly               RI 2  South   ( 3-12, 66.2)     7- 6   
 413 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          (10- 7, 63.1)     5- 4   
 418 A Griswold               CT S          ( 0-15, 41.8)    18- 0   
 422 A Waterford              CT S          (19- 3, 73.1)     6- 9   
 425 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 3-13, 56.2)     8- 4   
 427 H Bacon Academy          CT S          (12- 6, 68.3)    11- 9   
 429 H Montville              CT S          ( 6-10, 58.2)    16- 3   
 501 A Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 8-10, 62.3)    10-11   
 502 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 5-11, 62.8)    13- 6   
 509 H Griswold               CT S          ( 0-15, 41.8)    17- 0   
 513 H Waterford              CT S          (19- 3, 73.1)    10-11 2o
 515 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 3-13, 56.2)     8- 4   
 518 A Bacon Academy          CT S          (12- 6, 68.3)    12-17   
 520 H Old Lyme               CT S          ( 6-11, 62.1)    10- 4   
 522 A Montville              CT S          ( 6-10, 58.2)    15- 6   
 523 N East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 73.6)     5-17   
 531 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  CT S          (10- 7, 63.1)    14- 8   
 603 A Waterford              CT S          (19- 3, 73.1)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A East Lyme               4-16     -12    -6    -     -3.15
   408 A Westerly                7- 6       1     0          n/a  
   413 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler   5- 4       1     4    -     -3.94
   418 A Griswold               18- 0      18    24           0.00
   422 A Waterford               6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.33
   425 H Woodstock Academy       8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   427 H Bacon Academy          11- 9       2     0    +      2.23
   429 H Montville              16- 3      13     9           0.16
   501 A Fitch-Groton           10-11      -1     4    --    -5.49
   502 H Norwich Free Academy   13- 6       7     5           1.74
   509 H Griswold               17- 0      17    26           0.00
   513 H Waterford              10-11 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.07
   515 A Woodstock Academy       8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   518 A Bacon Academy          12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.51
   520 H Old Lyme               10- 4       6     5           0.07
   522 A Montville              15- 6       9     8           0.42
   523 N East Lyme               5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.78
   531 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler  14- 8       6     4           1.06
   603 A Waterford               6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Woodstock Academy       8- 4       4    11    ---   -6.00
   515 A Woodstock Academy       8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   501 A Fitch-Groton           10-11      -1     4    --    -5.49
   407 A East Lyme               4-16     -12    -6    -     -3.15
   413 H Saint Bernard/Wheeler   5- 4       1     4    -     -3.94
   518 A Bacon Academy          12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.51
   523 N East Lyme               5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Waterford              10-11 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.07
   603 A Waterford               6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.33
   422 A Waterford               6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.33
   427 H Bacon Academy          11- 9       2     0    +      2.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.42 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 32.64 Local SOS Rank.............    71
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    79
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/