Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Michael Burke         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6304626    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 88.6)    10- 5   
 325 A Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.6)     7-13   
 401 A Penn Yan               NY D  Sec 5   (10-10, 86.2)     2-14   
 404 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 92.1)    10- 7   
 420 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (11- 6, 98.4)     1- 8   
 422 H Brother Rice Orange    MI    Indep   ( 8- 0, 92.7)     7-11   
 423 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     3-16   
 426 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 93.7)     9-12   
 428 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.1)     8- 9   
 429 H Erie-McDowell          PA    Dist-X  ( 8-11, 83.7)     8- 7   
 502 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     1-17   
 504 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (11- 6, 98.4)     7-12   
 508 H Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.6)     5- 6   
 509 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 84.3)     4-10   
 511 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 92.1)     8- 6   
 516 A St Michael's College   CN    CISAA   (22- 4, 98.6)     4-13   
 517 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 93.7)     8-10   
 523 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Williamsville North    10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.86
   325 A Aquinas Institute       7-13      -6     0          n/a  
   401 A Penn Yan                2-14     -12     0          n/a  
   404 A Timon St Jude          10- 7       3    -6    +++    9.43
   420 H Canisius                1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
   422 H Brother Rice Orange     7-11      -4    -4          n/a  
   423 H St Joseph Collegiate    3-16     -13   -11           0.00
   426 H Nichols                 9-12      -3    -5    +      2.70
   428 H Lancaster               8- 9      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   429 H Erie-McDowell           8- 7       1     4          n/a  
   502 A St Joseph Collegiate    1-17     -16   -14           0.00
   504 A Canisius                7-12      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   508 H Aquinas Institute       5- 6      -1     1          n/a  
   509 H McQuaid Jesuit          4-10      -6     3          n/a  
   511 H Timon St Jude           8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.15
   516 A St Michael's College    4-13      -9   -12          n/a  
   517 A Nichols                 8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.98
   523 A St Joseph Collegiate    3-17     -14   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Penn Yan                2-14     -12     0    ---        
   509 H McQuaid Jesuit          4-10      -6     3    ---        
   325 A Aquinas Institute       7-13      -6     0    --         
   429 H Erie-McDowell           8- 7       1     4    -          
   508 H Aquinas Institute       5- 6      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Williamsville North    10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.86
   404 A Timon St Jude          10- 7       3    -6    +++    9.43
   428 H Lancaster               8- 9      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   511 H Timon St Jude           8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.15
   504 A Canisius                7-12      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   517 A Nichols                 8-10      -2    -7    ++     5.98
   420 H Canisius                1- 8      -7   -10    +      3.00
   426 H Nichols                 9-12      -3    -5    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.85 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.05 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/