Region = VT 2  NVAC             
   Nickname = T Crimson Tide         Coach  =   Luke Lecroix          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1945267    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 418 H St Johnsbury Academy   VT 2  NVAC    ( 8- 9, 92.5)     3-10   
 425 H Rutland                VT 1  MVLI    ( 9- 9, 88.2)     3-14   
 428 H Colchester             VT 1  NVAC    ( 2-13, 80.1)     7-16   
 501 A St Johnsbury Academy   VT 2  NVAC    ( 8- 9, 92.5)     3-15   
 503 H Bellows Free Academy   VT 1  NVAC    (13- 4, 98.3)     1- 8   
 506 H Essex Junction         VT 1  NVAC    ( 3-12, 83.3)     2-16   
 508 H Stowe                  VT 2  Indep   (11- 4, 99.5)     5-13   
 510 H South Burlington       VT 1  NVAC    (16- 2, 99.9)     3-19   
 513 A Mt Mansfield Union     VT 2  NVAC    ( 9- 9, 99.0)     5-16   
 517 A Colchester             VT 1  NVAC    ( 2-13, 80.1)     2-13   
 520 A Bellows Free Academy   VT 1  NVAC    (13- 4, 98.3)     4-16   
 522 A Stowe                  VT 2  Indep   (11- 4, 99.5)     8-17   
 524 H Champlain Valley       VT 1  NVAC    (16- 2, 99.4)     3-16   
 527 A Middlebury Union       VT 1  NVAC    ( 9- 8, 93.2)     2-16   
 530 A St Johnsbury Academy   VT 2  NVAC    ( 8- 9, 92.5)     5- 4   
 602 A Stowe                  VT 2  Indep   (11- 4, 99.5)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H St Johnsbury Academy    3-10      -7    -8           1.53
   425 H Rutland                 3-14     -11    -4          n/a  
   428 H Colchester              7-16      -9     3          n/a  
   501 A St Johnsbury Academy    3-15     -12    -9          -0.39
   503 H Bellows Free Academy    1- 8      -7   -14          n/a  
   506 H Essex Junction          2-16     -14     0          n/a  
   508 H Stowe                   5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
   510 H South Burlington        3-19     -16   -15          n/a  
   513 A Mt Mansfield Union      5-16     -11   -16           0.00
   517 A Colchester              2-13     -11     2          n/a  
   520 A Bellows Free Academy    4-16     -12   -15          n/a  
   522 A Stowe                   8-17      -9   -16           1.00
   524 H Champlain Valley        3-16     -13   -15          n/a  
   527 A Middlebury Union        2-16     -14   -10          n/a  
   530 A St Johnsbury Academy    5- 4       1    -9    +++   10.61
   602 A Stowe                   5- 9      -4   -16    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Colchester              7-16      -9     3    ---        
   506 H Essex Junction          2-16     -14     0    ---        
   517 A Colchester              2-13     -11     2    ---        
   425 H Rutland                 3-14     -11    -4    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 A St Johnsbury Academy    5- 4       1    -9    +++   10.61
   602 A Stowe                   5- 9      -4   -16    +++    6.00
   503 H Bellows Free Academy    1- 8      -7   -14    +          
   508 H Stowe                   5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.46 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.36 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    3.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/