Conf =  Fitch                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Pirates              Coach  =   Dave Giarusso         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.6682281    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Summit                 NJ 3  North   (16- 5, 93.3)     6- 8   
 401 H Montclair              NJ 4  North   ( 5-11, 76.6)    19- 2   
 404 H West Morris Central    NJ 3  North   ( 8-12, 82.7)    12-11  o
 413 H Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (21- 1, 99.9)     8- 7   
 415 A Glen Ridge             NJ 1  South   ( 5-10, 79.2)    15- 3   
 418 H West Essex Regional    NJ 2  North   ( 3-13, 76.0)    18- 3   
 420 A Sparta                 NJ 2  North   ( 9-10, 83.4)    21- 8   
 422 A Montclair Kim Acad     NJ    Grp-B   ( 1-14, 72.3)    21- 9   
 427 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (16- 3, 94.9)     6- 8   
 429 N Hingham                MA 2  South   (23- 3, 96.3)    20-16   
 430 A Duxbury                MA 1  South   (17- 6, 93.0)     7- 9   
 502 H Columbia               NJ 4  North   (11- 8, 78.5)    19- 3   
 504 H West Essex Regional    NJ 2  North   ( 3-13, 76.0)    15- 1   
 506 N Caldwell               NJ 1  South   (14- 6, 85.2)    12- 8   
 508 H Caldwell               NJ 1  South   (14- 6, 85.2)    13- 3   
 510 A Westfield              NJ 4  North   (10- 7, 88.2)    15- 7   
 515 A Millburn               NJ 3  North   ( 8-11, 78.7)    18- 3   
 523 H Pope John XXIII        NJ    Grp-A   (12- 7, 83.1)    13- 5   
 527 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 8, 86.1)    17- 4   
 601 N Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (21- 1, 99.9)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Summit                  6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.03
   401 H Montclair              19- 2      17    19           0.00
   404 H West Morris Central    12-11  o    1    13    ---   -9.00
   413 H Delbarton               8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.54
   415 A Glen Ridge             15- 3      12    14           0.00
   418 H West Essex Regional    18- 3      15    20           0.00
   420 A Sparta                 21- 8      13    10           0.00
   422 A Montclair Kim Acad     21- 9      12    21           0.00
   427 A Chatham                 6- 8      -2    -1          -0.87
   429 N Hingham                20-16       4    -1          n/a  
   430 A Duxbury                 7- 9      -2     1          n/a  
   502 H Columbia               19- 3      16    17           0.00
   504 H West Essex Regional    15- 1      14    20           0.00
   506 N Caldwell               12- 8       4     9    --    -5.90
   508 H Caldwell               13- 3      10    11           0.00
   510 A Westfield              15- 7       8     5    +      2.42
   515 A Millburn               18- 3      15    15           0.00
   523 H Pope John XXIII        13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   527 H Bergen Catholic        17- 4      13    10           0.00
   601 N Delbarton              10-11      -1    -4    +      3.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H West Morris Central    12-11  o    1    13    ---   -9.00
   329 H Summit                  6- 8      -2     3    --    -5.03
   506 N Caldwell               12- 8       4     9    --    -5.90
   430 A Duxbury                 7- 9      -2     1    -          
   523 H Pope John XXIII        13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Delbarton               8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.54
   429 N Hingham                20-16       4    -1    ++         
   510 A Westfield              15- 7       8     5    +      2.42
   601 N Delbarton              10-11      -1    -4    +      3.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.07 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.61 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .   22.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/