Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Paul Benway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7668533    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 N Tappan Zee             NY B  Sec 1   (13- 4, 89.6)    13- 7   
 328 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 65.8)    16- 0   
 330 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.6)     7- 8   
 401 N Mamaroneck             NY A  Sec 1   (12- 7, 90.5)    10- 9   
 405 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 75.1)    14- 5   
 407 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)     7- 9   
 410 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 59.2)    22- 0   
 417 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 88.2)     2-13   
 419 H Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 85.7)    13-12   
 425 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 95.2)     6-13   
 427 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 87.0)    15- 9   
 429 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.4)     2-14   
 503 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.5)    15- 9   
 505 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     5-13   
 509 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.1)    13- 5   
 511 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 97.0)     6-19   
 516 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.5)    10-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 N Tappan Zee             13- 7       6    -4          n/a  
   328 H Brentwood              16- 0      16    19           0.00
   330 H Half Hollow Hills East  7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.19
   401 N Mamaroneck             10- 9       1    -5          n/a  
   405 A Middle Country         14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   407 A Commack                 7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.21
   410 H Copiague               22- 0      22    26           0.00
   417 A Riverhead               2-13     -11    -2    ---   -7.06
   419 H Huntington             13-12       1     0           1.24
   425 A Smithtown West          6-13      -7    -9    +      2.90
   427 H Bay Shore              15- 9       6    -1    +++    7.52
   429 A West Islip              2-14     -12    -6    -     -3.94
   503 H Patchogue-Medford      15- 9       6     7          -1.95
   505 A Ward Melville           5-13      -8   -14    +      2.00
   509 A North Babylon          13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   511 H Smithtown East          6-19     -13   -11           0.00
   516 A Connetquot             10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Riverhead               2-13     -11    -2    ---   -7.06
   429 A West Islip              2-14     -12    -6    -     -3.94
   509 A North Babylon          13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   516 A Connetquot             10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 N Tappan Zee             13- 7       6    -4    +++        
   330 H Half Hollow Hills East  7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.19
   401 N Mamaroneck             10- 9       1    -5    +++        
   427 H Bay Shore              15- 9       6    -1    +++    7.52
   407 A Commack                 7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.21
   425 A Smithtown West          6-13      -7    -9    +      2.90
   505 A Ward Melville           5-13      -8   -14    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.37 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.81 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/