Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Patriots             Coach  =   Gordon Churchill      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.8966370    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 A Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  (11- 6, 83.7)     3-14   
 314 A Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 6, 87.9)     5-15   
 317 H Kerr-Vance Academy     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1- 8, 63.8)    12- 6   
 321 A Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3- 8, 69.1)    17- 8   
 328 A Kerr-Vance Academy     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 1- 8, 63.8)    14- 5   
 330 A Epiphany School        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 0- 5, 61.1)    16- 7   
 404 H Cape Fear Academy      NC 2  NCISAA  (15- 6, 87.9)     5-17   
 406 H D.H. Conley            NC    NCC     ( 0- 2, 62.8)    20- 3   
 407 A Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 7- 9, 69.8)     3- 9   
 426 A D.H. Conley            NC    NCC     ( 0- 2, 62.8)    17- 3   
 501 H North Raleigh Christia NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6-10, 75.3)     9-16   
 505 H St. David's School     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 7, 76.4)     7- 8   
 508 H Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3- 8, 69.1)    12- 6   
 513 A Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  (11- 6, 83.7)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Forsyth Cou Day         3-14     -11    -8          -1.65
   314 A Cape Fear Academy       5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   317 H Kerr-Vance Academy     12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   321 A Cary Christian         17- 8       9     6    +      2.75
   328 A Kerr-Vance Academy     14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   330 A Epiphany School        16- 7       9    14          -1.00
   404 H Cape Fear Academy       5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   406 H D.H. Conley            20- 3      17    14          n/a  
   407 A Havelock                3- 9      -6     5          n/a  
   426 A D.H. Conley            17- 3      14    13          n/a  
   501 H North Raleigh Christia  9-16      -7     2    ---   -9.29
   505 H St. David's School      7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.18
   508 H Cary Christian         12- 6       6     8    -     -2.57
   513 A Forsyth Cou Day         6-18     -12    -8          -1.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Havelock                3- 9      -6     5    ---        
   501 H North Raleigh Christia  9-16      -7     2    ---   -9.29
   317 H Kerr-Vance Academy     12- 6       6    13    --    -4.00
   505 H St. David's School      7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.18
   508 H Cary Christian         12- 6       6     8    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Cary Christian         17- 8       9     6    +      2.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.46 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.43 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/