Conf =  Dist-XI                   Region = PA    EPC-E            
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Vincent Arezzi        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.0667038    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Quakertown HS          PA    SubCont ( 4-11, 69.2)     9-10  o
 327 H Emmaus                 PA    EPC-W   (13- 9, 87.0)     5-21   
 330 A Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 5-11, 71.5)     8- 5   
 404 H Allentown Central Cath PA    EPC-W   (22- 2, 94.9)     5-19   
 408 A Bethlehem Liberty      PA    EPC-E   ( 1-14, 62.3)     7- 6   
 411 A Nazareth Area          PA    EPC-E   ( 4-14, 72.5)     5-11   
 413 H Freedom                PA    EPC-E   (11- 8, 79.6)     9-13   
 418 A Easton Area            PA    EPC-E   (12- 9, 85.8)     2-16   
 420 H Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 1-17, 58.5)    18- 4   
 421 H Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   (11- 6, 80.7)     7-10   
 424 A Parkland               PA    EPC-W   (20- 3, 95.7)     1-17   
 425 H Moravian Academy       PA    Indep   ( 5-10, 73.5)     2-17   
 427 A Freedom                PA    EPC-E   (11- 8, 79.6)     2-16   
 502 H Bethlehem Liberty      PA    EPC-E   ( 1-14, 62.3)    17- 6   
 504 H Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 5-11, 71.5)     6- 1   
 505 H Delaware Valley        PA    WVLL    (15- 6, 86.3)     7-10   
 508 A Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 1-17, 58.5)    12- 3   
 510 A Phillipsburg           NJ 4  North   (11- 7, 78.6)     3- 8   
 518 A Emmaus                 PA    EPC-W   (13- 9, 87.0)     0-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Quakertown HS           9-10  o   -1     0          -1.59
   327 H Emmaus                  5-21     -16   -15           0.00
   330 A Bethlehem Catholic      8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.69
   404 H Allentown Central Cath  5-19     -14   -23           0.00
   408 A Bethlehem Liberty       7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.58
   411 A Nazareth Area           5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.30
   413 H Freedom                 9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.45
   418 A Easton Area             2-16     -14   -16           0.00
   420 H Northampton Area       18- 4      14    12           0.00
   421 H Saucon Valley           7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.52
   424 A Parkland                1-17     -16   -25           0.00
   425 H Moravian Academy        2-17     -15    -2    ---   -7.72
   427 A Freedom                 2-16     -14    -9          -0.21
   502 H Bethlehem Liberty      17- 6      11     8           1.08
   504 H Bethlehem Catholic      6- 1       5     0    ++     5.35
   505 H Delaware Valley         7-10      -3   -15          n/a  
   508 A Northampton Area       12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   510 A Phillipsburg            3- 8      -5    -9          n/a  
   518 A Emmaus                  0-16     -16   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Bethlehem Liberty       7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.58
   425 H Moravian Academy        2-17     -15    -2    ---   -7.72
   411 A Nazareth Area           5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Saucon Valley           7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.52
   505 H Delaware Valley         7-10      -3   -15    +++        
   330 A Bethlehem Catholic      8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.69
   413 H Freedom                 9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.45
   504 H Bethlehem Catholic      6- 1       5     0    ++     5.35
   510 A Phillipsburg            3- 8      -5    -9    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.51 Local Power Rank...........    71
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.36 Local SOS Rank.............    71
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    79
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    73
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/