Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY D  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9852676    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Bath-Haverling         NY D  Sec 5   (11- 7, 81.5)     7- 6   
 401 H St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 86.8)    14- 2   
 406 H Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (18- 3, 91.3)     7- 8   
 408 N Carthage               NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 83.4)     9- 4   
 413 A Westhill               NY D  Sec 3   (16- 2, 94.3)     6-10   
 415 N Lakeland/Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (18- 4, 98.5)     4-12   
 418 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (13- 6, 93.5)     3- 8   
 422 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 93.6)     5- 4   
 425 H Livonia                NY D  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 68.5)    18- 0   
 429 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (16- 5, 99.9)     4-11   
 504 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.9)     4- 7   
 506 H Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Dist-X  (10-10, 85.0)    14- 4   
 509 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (10- 7, 83.5)     1- 5   
 512 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 87.7)     6-13   
 516 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 84.3)     8- 3   
 518 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 4, 92.5)     8- 9   
 524 H Mynderse Academy       NY D  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 68.9)    16- 0   
 527 N Bath-Haverling         NY D  Sec 5   (11- 7, 81.5)    16- 4   
 531 N Waterloo               NY D  Sec 5   ( 9-10, 72.9)    13- 6   
 603 N Akron                  NY D  Sec 6   (18- 2, 98.5)     9-10 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Bath-Haverling          7- 6       1     5    --    -4.29
   401 H St Francis             14- 2      12     0          n/a  
   406 H Palmyra-Macedon         7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.49
   408 N Carthage                9- 4       5     2          n/a  
   413 A Westhill                6-10      -4    -8          n/a  
   415 N Lakeland/Panas          4-12      -8   -12          n/a  
   418 A Canandaigua             3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.89
   422 H Clarence                5- 4       1    -6          n/a  
   425 H Livonia                18- 0      18    18           0.00
   429 A St Joseph Collegiate    4-11      -7   -14          n/a  
   504 H Fairport                4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.10
   506 H Erie Cathedral Prep    14- 4      10     1          n/a  
   509 A Geneva                  1- 5      -4     2    ---   -6.09
   512 H Penfield                6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.10
   516 A McQuaid Jesuit          8- 3       5     1    +      3.70
   518 A Webster Thomas          8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.90
   524 H Mynderse Academy       16- 0      16    17           0.00
   527 N Bath-Haverling         16- 4      12     4    ++     5.32
   531 N Waterloo               13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   603 N Akron                   9-10 2o   -1   -12          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Geneva                  1- 5      -4     2    ---   -6.09
   512 H Penfield                6-13      -7     0    ---   -6.10
   330 H Bath-Haverling          7- 6       1     5    --    -4.29
   531 N Waterloo               13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H St Francis             14- 2      12     0    +++        
   422 H Clarence                5- 4       1    -6    +++        
   506 H Erie Cathedral Prep    14- 4      10     1    +++        
   603 N Akron                   9-10 2o   -1   -12    +++        
   413 A Westhill                6-10      -4    -8    ++         
   504 H Fairport                4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.10
   518 A Webster Thomas          8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.90
   527 N Bath-Haverling         16- 4      12     4    ++     5.32
   406 H Palmyra-Macedon         7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.49
   408 N Carthage                9- 4       5     2    +          
   415 N Lakeland/Panas          4-12      -8   -12    +          
   418 A Canandaigua             3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.89
   429 A St Joseph Collegiate    4-11      -7   -14    +          
   516 A McQuaid Jesuit          8- 3       5     1    +      3.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.18 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.12 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/