Conf =  Monroe-1                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   John Schembri         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7515717    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 87.4)    14-12   
 401 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 3, 96.5)     9-16   
 404 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 84.4)    14-10   
 406 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.9)     5-15   
 411 H Webster Schroeder      NY B  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 84.7)    12- 7   
 413 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.3)     7-15   
 419 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.4)     7- 8   
 421 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 83.1)     9- 5   
 425 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 4, 92.5)     9-12   
 427 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-12, 83.2)    18-11   
 502 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 85.4)    11- 8   
 505 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 98.7)    10-15   
 509 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (13- 6, 93.5)    10-15   
 512 A Penn Yan               NY D  Sec 5   (10-10, 86.2)    13- 6   
 517 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.9)     5-14   
 519 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 73.2)    15- 6   
 523 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 73.2)    19- 4   
 526 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.9)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Brighton               14-12       2     0           1.12
   401 A West Genesee            9-16      -7    -9          n/a  
   404 H Hilton                 14-10       4     3           0.11
   406 A Victor                  5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   411 H Webster Schroeder      12- 7       5     3           1.42
   413 A Pittsford               7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00
   419 A West Islip              7- 8      -1    -4          n/a  
   421 A Comsewogue              9- 5       4     4          n/a  
   425 H Webster Thomas          9-12      -3    -4           1.16
   427 A Churchville-Chili      18-11       7     3    +      3.15
   502 H Irondequoit            11- 8       3     2           0.12
   505 A Orchard Park           10-15      -5   -11          n/a  
   509 A Canandaigua            10-15      -5    -6           1.38
   512 A Penn Yan               13- 6       7     0    +++    6.10
   517 H Fairport                5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.41
   519 A Rush-Henrietta         15- 6       9    13          -1.00
   523 H Rush-Henrietta         19- 4      15    15           0.00
   526 N Fairport                9-13      -4    -7    +      3.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Fairport                5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Penn Yan               13- 6       7     0    +++    6.10
   505 A Orchard Park           10-15      -5   -11    ++         
   401 A West Genesee            9-16      -7    -9    +          
   413 A Pittsford               7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00
   419 A West Islip              7- 8      -1    -4    +          
   427 A Churchville-Chili      18-11       7     3    +      3.15
   526 N Fairport                9-13      -4    -7    +      3.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.70 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.84 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/