Conf =  Sec8                      Region = MN 1  NoWest           
   Nickname = N Orioles              Coach  =   Darren Nelson         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.7110977    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 417 A Elk River              MN 1  NoWest  ( 9- 7, 80.9)     2- 5   
 419 H Coon Rapids            MN 1  NoWest  ( 0-15, 60.3)    17- 3   
 421 A Blaine                 MN 1  NoWest  (12- 5, 83.0)     7- 9   
 424 H Irondale               MN 1  NoWest  ( 8- 7, 79.8)     7-12   
 426 H Spring Lake Park       MN 1  NoWest  ( 5-11, 72.5)    11- 8   
 428 A Maple Grove            MN 1  NoWest  (15- 1, 92.1)     2-14   
 503 H Andover                MN 1  NoWest  ( 9- 7, 79.5)     6- 7 2o
 505 A Rocori                 MN 1  Indep   ( 3-10, 68.8)    17- 5   
 508 A Totino Grace           MN 1  NoWest  ( 2-11, 67.5)     8- 9   
 510 H Armstrong              MN 1  NoWest  (10- 4, 85.7)     5- 4 4o
 513 A Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 9, 84.8)     5-17   
 515 A Anoka                  MN 1  NoWest  (14- 3, 90.3)     5-16   
 524 A Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  ( 4-10, 71.4)    16- 9   
 526 H Centennial             MN 1  NoWest  ( 6- 9, 77.6)    16- 8   
 530 H Becker                 MN 1  GrWest  ( 5- 9, 69.5)     8- 5   
 601 A St Michael-Albertville MN 1  GrWest  (13- 2, 93.3)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Elk River               2- 5      -3    -4           1.43
   419 H Coon Rapids            17- 3      14    18           0.00
   421 A Blaine                  7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.56
   424 H Irondale                7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.54
   426 H Spring Lake Park       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.92
   428 A Maple Grove             2-14     -12   -15           0.00
   503 H Andover                 6- 7 2o   -1    -1           0.09
   505 A Rocori                 17- 5      12     7    +      2.34
   508 A Totino Grace            8- 9      -1     8    ---   -9.95
   510 H Armstrong               5- 4 4o    1    -7    +++    8.29
   513 A Lakeville South         5-17     -12    -8          -1.68
   515 A Anoka                   5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   524 A Champlin Park          16- 9       7     5           1.98
   526 H Centennial             16- 8       8     0    +++    7.26
   530 H Becker                  8- 5       3     8    --    -5.83
   601 A St Michael-Albertville  4-16     -12   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Totino Grace            8- 9      -1     8    ---   -9.95
   530 H Becker                  8- 5       3     8    --    -5.83
   424 H Irondale                7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.54
   426 H Spring Lake Park       11- 8       3     5    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Armstrong               5- 4 4o    1    -7    +++    8.29
   526 H Centennial             16- 8       8     0    +++    7.26
   421 A Blaine                  7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.56
   505 A Rocori                 17- 5      12     7    +      2.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.40 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.11 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    45
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/