Region = KY 1  KSLL             
   Nickname = Y Dragons              Coach  =   Joe Richie            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.0826263    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 H Louisville Collegiate  KY 1  KSLL    ( 9- 7, 83.2)    17-13   
 310 A Christian Academy      KY 1  KSLL    ( 9- 4, 83.7)    12-14   
 315 A M.L. Collins           KY 2  South   ( 7- 7, 69.6)    17- 3   
 317 A Bishop Fenwick         OH 2  Reg-8   ( 6- 9, 77.3)    15- 6   
 318 A Anderson HS            OH 1  Reg-4   ( 6-10, 74.3)    17- 4   
 322 H Louisville Trinity     KY 1  KSLL    (18- 3, 99.4)     3-18   
 324 A Lexington Dunbar       KY 2  South   (15- 7, 85.0)    12-13   
 325 H St Charles North       IL A  Upstate (12-10, 86.2)    16-11   
 329 H DuPont Manual          KY 1  KSLL    ( 3-13, 69.2)    15- 2   
 412 H Lexington Sayre        KY 2  North   ( 5-11, 69.6)    18- 2   
 414 A Noblesville            IN    HCLC    ( 8- 9, 84.4)    15- 6   
 415 A Park Tudor             IN    Indep   ( 3-10, 75.8)    16-13   
 419 H Kentucky Country Day   KY 1  KSLL    (12- 6, 80.7)    13-14 2o
 421 H North Oldham           KY 1  KSLL    ( 8-11, 76.8)    16- 7   
 424 H Covington Catholic     KY 2  North   (16- 5, 82.3)    11-10   
 426 A Louisville Male        KY 1  KSLL    ( 9- 9, 73.0)    20- 5   
 501 A Oldham County          KY 1  KSLL    ( 6-12, 64.2)    19- 3   
 504 A Lexington Catholic     KY 2  South   (16- 8, 89.0)     6- 8   
 511 N North Oldham           KY 1  KSLL    ( 8-11, 76.8)    16-10   
 515 H Louisville Ballard     KY 1  KSLL    (10- 7, 81.2)    19- 5   
 517 N Louisville St Xavier   KY 1  KSLL    (16- 4, 99.9)     4-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Louisville Collegiate  17-13       4     5          -1.14
   310 A Christian Academy      12-14      -2     1    -     -3.39
   315 A M.L. Collins           17- 3      14    15           0.00
   317 A Bishop Fenwick         15- 6       9     8          n/a  
   318 A Anderson HS            17- 4      13    10          n/a  
   322 H Louisville Trinity      3-18     -15   -11           0.00
   324 A Lexington Dunbar       12-13      -1     0          -1.10
   325 H St Charles North       16-11       5     2          n/a  
   329 H DuPont Manual          15- 2      13    19           0.00
   412 H Lexington Sayre        18- 2      16    18           0.00
   414 A Noblesville            15- 6       9     1          n/a  
   415 A Park Tudor             16-13       3     9          n/a  
   419 H Kentucky Country Day   13-14 2o   -1     7    ---   -8.56
   421 H North Oldham           16- 7       9    11          -1.00
   424 H Covington Catholic     11-10       1     5    --    -4.96
   426 A Louisville Male        20- 5      15    12           0.00
   501 A Oldham County          19- 3      16    20           0.00
   504 A Lexington Catholic      6- 8      -2    -3           1.91
   511 N North Oldham           16-10       6     9    -     -3.89
   515 H Louisville Ballard     19- 5      14     7    +      2.95
   517 N Louisville St Xavier    4-19     -15   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Park Tudor             16-13       3     9    ---        
   419 H Kentucky Country Day   13-14 2o   -1     7    ---   -8.56
   424 H Covington Catholic     11-10       1     5    --    -4.96
   310 A Christian Academy      12-14      -2     1    -     -3.39
   511 N North Oldham           16-10       6     9    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Noblesville            15- 6       9     1    +++        
   325 H St Charles North       16-11       5     2    +          
   515 H Louisville Ballard     19- 5      14     7    +      2.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.70 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.75 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/