Region = MD 32 West-1           
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Trey Wilkes           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.5881042    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Walter Johnson         MD 43 West-1  ( 8- 7, 79.8)    10-11 2o
 324 A Middletown             MD 32 West-1  (12- 5, 84.4)     6-11   
 328 H Walkersville           MD 21 West-2  ( 5- 9, 70.8)    12- 2   
 330 A Catoctin               MD 21 West-2  ( 4- 9, 70.6)     2- 1   
 404 H Urbana                 MD 43 South-1 (11- 6, 83.0)     3-10   
 406 H Brunswick              MD 21 West-2  ( 3-10, 68.8)    10- 3   
 411 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD 32 West-1  ( 8- 6, 74.2)     7- 8   
 425 H Frederick              MD 32 West-1  ( 0-13, 55.5)    19- 0   
 427 H Linganore              MD 32 West-1  (17- 1, 90.1)     2- 3   
 502 A The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (14- 6, 93.8)     5- 9   
 504 A Tuscarora              MD 32 West-1  ( 7- 8, 73.0)    12- 5   
 508 H C.H. Flowers           MD 43 North-1 ( 4- 7, 51.0)    19- 1   
 510 A North Hagerstown       MD 32 West-1  ( 8- 5, 73.4)    12- 6   
 512 A Middletown             MD 32 West-1  (12- 5, 84.4)     8-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Walter Johnson         10-11 2o   -1    -1           0.47
   324 A Middletown              6-11      -5    -7    +      2.86
   328 H Walkersville           12- 2      10     7    +      2.54
   330 A Catoctin                2- 1       1     5    --    -4.92
   404 H Urbana                  3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.31
   406 H Brunswick              10- 3       7     9    -     -2.51
   411 H Gov. Thomas Johnson     7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.07
   425 H Frederick              19- 0      19    22           0.00
   427 H Linganore               2- 3      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   502 A The Heights             5- 9      -4   -17          n/a  
   504 A Tuscarora              12- 5       7     3    +      3.43
   508 H C.H. Flowers           19- 1      18    27           0.00
   510 A North Hagerstown       12- 6       6     3    +      2.85
   512 A Middletown              8-16      -8    -7          -0.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Catoctin                2- 1       1     5    --    -4.92
   411 H Gov. Thomas Johnson     7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.07
   404 H Urbana                  3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.31
   406 H Brunswick              10- 3       7     9    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Linganore               2- 3      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   502 A The Heights             5- 9      -4   -17    +++        
   324 A Middletown              6-11      -5    -7    +      2.86
   328 H Walkersville           12- 2      10     7    +      2.54
   504 A Tuscarora              12- 5       7     3    +      3.43
   510 A North Hagerstown       12- 6       6     3    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.42 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.20 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    70
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   112
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    83
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/