Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Nighthawks           Coach  =   Scott Bulkley         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6108093    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (15- 5, 88.1)     9-10   
 403 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          (10-10, 65.6)    16- 2   
 406 A New Milford            CT L          (11- 9, 73.8)    16- 7   
 411 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 4-12, 63.5)    18- 2   
 413 H Guilford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.2)     9-15   
 415 A Staples-Westport       CT L          (10- 8, 83.7)     2- 8   
 418 A Brookfield             CT M          (10- 9, 72.6)    20- 7   
 420 A Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 5-12, 61.0)    15- 2   
 422 A Mamaroneck             NY A  Sec 1   (12- 7, 90.5)     5- 6 2o
 425 H Weston                 CT M          (15- 5, 82.5)     8-12   
 429 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          ( 8-10, 76.9)     6- 3   
 503 A Joel Barlow            CT M          (11- 9, 79.5)    10-14   
 506 H Simsbury               CT L          (11- 9, 80.4)    14-11   
 509 H New Fairfield          CT M          (18- 3, 85.7)    10- 4   
 511 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          (13- 7, 74.9)    14- 6   
 513 H Glastonbury            CT L          (17- 4, 89.6)     7-10   
 518 H New Milford            CT L          (11- 9, 73.8)    11- 8   
 523 A New Fairfield          CT M          (18- 3, 85.7)     6-10   
 527 H Fairfield-Warde        CT L          ( 8- 9, 75.8)    13-12  o
 531 A Ridgefield             CT L          (16- 5, 88.4)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Fairfield Prep          9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.64
   403 H Immaculate Danbury     16- 2      14    14           0.00
   406 A New Milford            16- 7       9     5    +      3.52
   411 H Bethel                 18- 2      16    17           0.00
   413 H Guilford                9-15      -6     2    ---   -8.32
   415 A Staples-Westport        2- 8      -6    -4          -1.56
   418 A Brookfield             20- 7      13     6    +      3.41
   420 A Bunnell-Stratford      15- 2      13    18           0.00
   422 A Mamaroneck              5- 6 2o   -1   -11          n/a  
   425 H Weston                  8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.02
   429 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       6- 3       3     3          -0.63
   503 A Joel Barlow            10-14      -4     0    -     -3.73
   506 H Simsbury               14-11       3     0    +      2.90
   509 H New Fairfield          10- 4       6    -5    +++   11.22
   511 H Masuk-Monroe           14- 6       8     5    +      2.44
   513 H Glastonbury             7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.09
   518 H New Milford            11- 8       3     6    -     -3.74
   523 A New Fairfield           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.48
   527 H Fairfield-Warde        13-12  o    1     4    -     -3.68
   531 A Ridgefield              7-17     -10    -9          -0.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Guilford                9-15      -6     2    ---   -8.32
   425 H Weston                  8-12      -4    -1    -     -2.02
   503 A Joel Barlow            10-14      -4     0    -     -3.73
   518 H New Milford            11- 8       3     6    -     -3.74
   527 H Fairfield-Warde        13-12  o    1     4    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Fairfield Prep          9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.64
   422 A Mamaroneck              5- 6 2o   -1   -11    +++        
   509 H New Fairfield          10- 4       6    -5    +++   11.22
   513 H Glastonbury             7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.09
   406 A New Milford            16- 7       9     5    +      3.52
   418 A Brookfield             20- 7      13     6    +      3.41
   506 H Simsbury               14-11       3     0    +      2.90
   511 H Masuk-Monroe           14- 6       8     5    +      2.44
   523 A New Fairfield           6-10      -4    -6    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.86 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.76 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/