Region = MI 1  Reg4-1           
   Nickname = I Mustangs             Coach  =   Greg Durham           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1080856    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Clarkston              MI 1  Reg5-1  (12- 8, 87.3)     8- 7   
 412 H Hartland               MI 1  Reg8-1  (21- 1, 96.7)     9-12   
 413 H Belleville             MI 1  Reg3-1  (12- 4, 81.5)    10- 8   
 415 H Troy Athens            MI 1  Reg6-1  (13- 5, 90.2)     9- 4   
 418 A Brighton               MI 1  Reg2-1  (14- 7, 87.8)    15- 8   
 419 H Salem                  MI 1  Reg3-1  (12- 8, 79.9)    15- 7   
 421 A Howell                 MI 1  Reg2-1  ( 7-11, 76.7)    15- 6   
 426 H Walled Lake Western    MI 2  Reg14-2 ( 4-12, 72.0)    16- 2   
 428 A Plymouth               MI 1  Reg3-1  (13- 8, 84.1)    15- 8   
 501 A South Lyon Unified     MI 1  Reg2-1  (14- 6, 85.5)     8-10   
 506 H Notre Dame Prep        MI 2  Reg16-2 (13- 7, 82.7)    19- 6   
 508 A Canton                 MI 1  Reg3-1  (15- 7, 82.7)    11- 4   
 510 H Novi                   MI 1  Reg4-1  (10- 9, 80.4)    14- 8   
 513 H Forest Hills Central   MI 2  Reg9-2  (16- 7, 94.4)    12-19   
 515 H Brighton               MI 1  Reg2-1  (14- 7, 87.8)    10- 9   
 519 H Walled Lake Central    MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 1-14, 62.9)    16- 5   
 523 N Novi                   MI 1  Reg4-1  (10- 9, 80.4)    13- 6   
 531 N Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1  Reg4-1  (15- 6, 94.3)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Clarkston               8- 7       1     3    -     -2.91
   412 H Hartland                9-12      -3    -5    +      2.43
   413 H Belleville             10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.80
   415 H Troy Athens             9- 4       5     1    +      3.92
   418 A Brighton               15- 8       7     0    +++    6.52
   419 H Salem                  15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   421 A Howell                 15- 6       9    11          -1.00
   426 H Walled Lake Western    16- 2      14    19           0.00
   428 A Plymouth               15- 8       7     4    +      2.89
   501 A South Lyon Unified      8-10      -2     2    --    -4.70
   506 H Notre Dame Prep        19- 6      13     8           1.50
   508 A Canton                 11- 4       7     5           1.49
   510 H Novi                   14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   513 H Forest Hills Central   12-19      -7    -3    -     -3.82
   515 H Brighton               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.50
   519 H Walled Lake Central    16- 5      11    28           0.00
   523 N Novi                   13- 6       7     9    -     -2.35
   531 N Detroit Catholic Cent  10-13      -3    -4           1.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Belleville             10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.80
   501 A South Lyon Unified      8-10      -2     2    --    -4.70
   510 H Novi                   14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   324 H Clarkston               8- 7       1     3    -     -2.91
   419 H Salem                  15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   513 H Forest Hills Central   12-19      -7    -3    -     -3.82
   515 H Brighton               10- 9       1     3    -     -2.50
   523 N Novi                   13- 6       7     9    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Brighton               15- 8       7     0    +++    6.52
   412 H Hartland                9-12      -3    -5    +      2.43
   415 H Troy Athens             9- 4       5     1    +      3.92
   428 A Plymouth               15- 8       7     4    +      2.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.74 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.25 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    84
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
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