Conf =  Valley                    Region = MA 2  West             
   Nickname = A Blue Devils          Coach  =   Matt Striebel         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2567062    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2  CenWest (17- 6, 83.1)     7-15   
 405 A Granby                 MA 3  West    ( 6-14, 56.9)    17- 1   
 407 H Westfield              MA 2  West    (14- 8, 84.5)     6- 5   
 411 H Pope Francis           MA 3  West    (11-11, 75.1)     9- 8   
 413 H East Longmeadow        MA 2  West    (14- 5, 79.3)     9- 6   
 418 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2  West    ( 5-13, 72.7)    10- 7   
 421 H West Springfield       MA 2  West    ( 3-15, 62.9)    10- 2   
 425 A South Hadley           MA 2  West    ( 5-13, 71.6)    15- 5   
 427 A Agawam                 MA 2  West    ( 5-13, 72.3)     6- 4   
 501 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2  West    ( 5-13, 72.7)    15- 6   
 504 A Longmeadow             MA 2  West    (21- 4, 91.6)     3-11   
 506 H Minnechaug             MA 2  West    (14- 6, 85.8)     3- 9   
 508 A Pope Francis           MA 3  West    (11-11, 75.1)     8- 9  o
 510 A Mount Greylock         MA 3  West    (18- 2, 86.8)     3-10   
 515 A West Springfield       MA 2  West    ( 3-15, 62.9)    14- 1   
 517 A East Longmeadow        MA 2  West    (14- 5, 79.3)    10-13   
 520 A Brattleboro Union      VT 1  MVLI    ( 2-14, 76.5)    10- 6   
 522 H Agawam                 MA 2  West    ( 5-13, 72.3)    10- 9   
 531 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2  CenWest (17- 6, 83.1)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Tantasqua Regional      7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.77
   405 A Granby                 17- 1      16    22           0.00
   407 H Westfield               6- 5       1    -4    ++     5.35
   411 H Pope Francis            9- 8       1     5    --    -4.05
   413 H East Longmeadow         9- 6       3     0    +      2.12
   418 A Amherst-Pelham         10- 7       3     6    -     -3.23
   421 H West Springfield       10- 2       8    17    -     -2.00
   425 A South Hadley           15- 5      10     7    +      2.71
   427 A Agawam                  6- 4       2     6    --    -4.59
   501 H Amherst-Pelham         15- 6       9     7           1.48
   504 A Longmeadow              3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
   506 H Minnechaug              3- 9      -6    -5          -0.42
   508 A Pope Francis            8- 9  o   -1     3    --    -4.76
   510 A Mount Greylock          3-10      -7    -7           0.89
   515 A West Springfield       14- 1      13    15           0.00
   517 A East Longmeadow        10-13      -3     0    -     -2.59
   520 A Brattleboro Union      10- 6       4     2          n/a  
   522 H Agawam                 10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.88
   531 A Tantasqua Regional      6- 9      -3    -4           1.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Agawam                 10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.88
   411 H Pope Francis            9- 8       1     5    --    -4.05
   427 A Agawam                  6- 4       2     6    --    -4.59
   508 A Pope Francis            8- 9  o   -1     3    --    -4.76
   403 A Tantasqua Regional      7-15      -8    -4    -     -3.77
   418 A Amherst-Pelham         10- 7       3     6    -     -3.23
   421 H West Springfield       10- 2       8    17    -     -2.00
   517 A East Longmeadow        10-13      -3     0    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Westfield               6- 5       1    -4    ++     5.35
   413 H East Longmeadow         9- 6       3     0    +      2.12
   425 A South Hadley           15- 5      10     7    +      2.71
   504 A Longmeadow              3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.55 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.65 Local SOS Rank.............   113
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   147
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    76
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/