Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Rebels               Coach  =   Marty Morgan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6925888    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          (13- 7, 74.9)    15- 2   
 408 A St John Baptist        NY LI AAA-AA  ( 3-12, 81.3)    12- 6   
 410 A Simsbury               CT L          (11- 9, 80.4)    14-13  o
 413 A Weston                 CT M          (15- 5, 82.5)    17- 8   
 415 N Bayport-Blue Point     NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.5)    11- 7   
 418 A Immaculate Danbury     CT S          (10-10, 65.6)    18- 3   
 420 H Joel Barlow            CT M          (11- 9, 79.5)    11- 7   
 422 A Xavier                 CT L          (12- 8, 80.4)    15- 9   
 425 H Brookfield             CT M          (10- 9, 72.6)    11- 6   
 427 A Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 5-12, 61.0)    19- 4   
 502 A Bethel                 CT M          ( 4-12, 63.5)    17- 4   
 504 H Fordham Prep           NY NY AAA-AA  (12-10, 90.3)    10- 7   
 506 H Guilford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.2)    18- 8   
 509 A Newtown                CT L          (11- 9, 79.9)     4-10   
 511 H New Milford            CT L          (11- 9, 73.8)    19- 7   
 516 H Wilton                 CT L          (15- 6, 87.5)     2-13   
 523 H Newtown                CT L          (11- 9, 79.9)    10- 6   
 525 N Joel Barlow            CT M          (11- 9, 79.5)     9- 8  o
 531 H Joel Barlow            CT M          (11- 9, 79.5)    11- 4   
 603 H Lewis Mills-Burlington CT M          (14- 7, 68.1)    18- 2   
 607 N New Canaan             CT M          (15- 6, 90.1)     9-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Masuk-Monroe           15- 2      13    11           0.00
   408 A St John Baptist        12- 6       6     3          n/a  
   410 A Simsbury               14-13  o    1     4    -     -3.70
   413 A Weston                 17- 8       9     2    +++    6.39
   415 N Bayport-Blue Point     11- 7       4     4          n/a  
   418 A Immaculate Danbury     18- 3      15    19           0.00
   420 H Joel Barlow            11- 7       4     6    -     -2.85
   422 A Xavier                 15- 9       6     4           1.32
   425 H Brookfield             11- 6       5    13    --    -5.00
   427 A Bunnell-Stratford      19- 4      15    24           0.00
   502 A Bethel                 17- 4      13    21           0.00
   504 H Fordham Prep           10- 7       3    -3          n/a  
   506 H Guilford               18- 8      10     8           1.82
   509 A Newtown                 4-10      -6     5    ---  -11.22
   511 H New Milford            19- 7      12    12           0.00
   516 H Wilton                  2-13     -11    -1    ---   -8.86
   523 H Newtown                10- 6       4     6    -     -2.48
   525 N Joel Barlow             9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.22
   531 H Joel Barlow            11- 4       7     6           0.15
   603 H Lewis Mills-Burlington 18- 2      16    18           0.00
   607 N New Canaan              9-21     -12    -4    --    -5.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Newtown                 4-10      -6     5    ---  -11.22
   516 H Wilton                  2-13     -11    -1    ---   -8.86
   425 H Brookfield             11- 6       5    13    --    -5.00
   525 N Joel Barlow             9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.22
   607 N New Canaan              9-21     -12    -4    --    -5.60
   410 A Simsbury               14-13  o    1     4    -     -3.70
   420 H Joel Barlow            11- 7       4     6    -     -2.85
   523 H Newtown                10- 6       4     6    -     -2.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Weston                 17- 8       9     2    +++    6.39
   504 H Fordham Prep           10- 7       3    -3    +++        
   408 A St John Baptist        12- 6       6     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.72 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.05 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    51
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/