Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-02          
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Steve Hopkinson       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.7266769    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (18- 2, 91.2)     8-20   
 310 A West Carteret          NC    Conf-02 ( 0-13, 53.4)    19- 1   
 314 A Croatan                NC    Conf-02 (11- 7, 75.0)    12- 7   
 315 H Northside              NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 8, 67.9)    20- 6   
 317 H Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 ( 2-11, 62.2)    16- 6   
 321 A First Flight           NC    Conf-02 (10- 6, 75.8)    13- 9   
 324 H Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 7- 9, 69.8)    14- 4   
 328 A Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 (14- 5, 83.1)    10-12   
 404 A J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 (10- 7, 73.2)    14-11   
 407 H J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 (10- 7, 73.2)    18- 5   
 411 A Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 7- 9, 69.8)    12- 6   
 413 H Croatan                NC    Conf-02 (11- 7, 75.0)    11- 7   
 425 H West Carteret          NC    Conf-02 ( 0-13, 53.4)    21- 0   
 427 H First Flight           NC    Conf-02 (10- 6, 75.8)    13-12   
 428 A Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 ( 2-11, 62.2)    11- 5   
 506 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 (14- 5, 83.1)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Wilmington Hoggard      8-20     -12   -11           0.00
   310 A West Carteret          19- 1      18    26           0.00
   314 A Croatan                12- 7       5     5          -0.04
   315 H Northside              20- 6      14    13           0.00
   317 H Jacksonville           16- 6      10    19           0.00
   321 A First Flight           13- 9       4     4          -0.25
   324 H Havelock               14- 4      10    11           0.00
   328 A Durham Jordan          10-12      -2    -3           1.09
   404 A J.H. Rose              14-11       3     6    -     -3.80
   407 H J.H. Rose              18- 5      13     8           1.70
   411 A Havelock               12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   413 H Croatan                11- 7       4     6    -     -2.54
   425 H West Carteret          21- 0      21    28           0.00
   427 H First Flight           13-12       1     5    --    -4.75
   428 A Jacksonville           11- 5       6    17    --    -4.00
   506 H Durham Jordan           7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Havelock               12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   427 H First Flight           13-12       1     5    --    -4.75
   428 A Jacksonville           11- 5       6    17    --    -4.00
   506 H Durham Jordan           7-14      -7    -1    --    -5.40
   404 A J.H. Rose              14-11       3     6    -     -3.80
   413 H Croatan                11- 7       4     6    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.79 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.80 Local SOS Rank.............    70
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/